Hi!

The reason I post this hand is PFRs stats - he/she is 30/17/6,5 over 100 hands, AF 5,8, Cbet Flop 70%, Cbet turn 80%. BB is pretty nitty, 22/11, AF 1,5.
I guess there is no point in raising flop, b/c we don't want to GII with this hand and villain shouldn't be too too wide against 3opps OTF. OTT is this just an easy fold considering the player behind us???

Thanks!

Beause MP is short I'm pbb raising flop and try to get the money in. This is just about as good as it gets for our hand except for some monsters.

Turn I think folding is ok given that villain bets 3way and will def. semibluf a lot of flops and we are drawing very slim if we are wrong and BB is yet to come.

i prefer calling flop and x/ring blank turns, this turn card is kinda bad for us though



villain's flop cbetting stat is 70% overall in 100 hands but it's prob slightly less than this in this spot MW. that being said, they have a 60/40 adv over your hand with 41% of their range

on the turn - if they continue with 87% of their flop cbetting range, they have 81% equity vs. your hand with a set or a str8 comprising 40% of that cbetting range (not shown but i changed the dead cards to include hero's cards and it changed the turn numbers by a bit), which means you have 6% equity vs. about a third of their range that gets to the turn. couple that with a tight BB still in that hand who could have a lot of these hands that beat you + any number of combo draws mean you should just fold now. flop is still fine to call obv as most turns aren't a complete disaster for us like this one was

True 60BB and the player behind us might be a little too much for an all in.

We could also call flop and pot safe turns ourself.