Hi!

Villain is 57/50/20 AF 1,3 over 17 hands.
Pre, flop and turn seem standard. What about river? Villain should have a lot of hands he can c/ back and show down with so his range should be pretty polarized here. He shouldn't have many sets due to flop and turn action, I don't usually see people shove Q7 type hands for value here. So there's T8 (likely), 45 (somewhat unlikely) and missed draws. We block spades and a J which makes it a little bit less likely he has ss or KJT etc. Can we call this riv?

Thanks!

I prefer a c/c on turn, but betting is absolutely fine.

Bluff-catching is perfectly reasonable on river with there being such a wide range of missed draws, but average players are way too passive for this to be automatic for me. All depends on gameflow.

River is meh. I think it depends how thin bets villain here for value. If he autoshove any 2p+ than its a fold but if he only vbets str8 than its a call.

^^ Why would you prefer a turn x/c? Betting for value is clearly the best play with the amount of draws out there. We're not too afraid of a turn x/r and can call anyway even if it happens. Only reason to check would be is if you think villain will stab turn a bunch in which case we can x/r. Certainly shouldn't just be x/c.

River I think is a clear fold w/o reads. Obviously with us having the A high FD means he can't really have many missed spade flush draws - since most of them are either willing to GII on the flop (like FD + wrap), are folding somewhere or have hit 2 pair/straight OTR and don't need to bluff/can value-bet (stuff like 9876/9875 - pair + spade FD hands that decided not to raise/GII on flop)

Only hands that miss is the JT/KJT wrap and a bare JT isn't calling turn and neither should a bare KJT (tho you never know against a random) - would have to have turned a club FD. But someone who jams river as bluf is prob someone also likely to raise KJT with clubs OTT.

I like having a turn c/c range with the nutflush draw in it, and I think stacks are just deep enough that we indeed should have a c/c range. Might be too fancy though, certainly there are plenty of randoms that are just auto-calling their crappy combo draws.

Firstly, balance at these stakes is so over-rated. Most people won't be able to exploit the fact you never have NFD in your x/c range OTT. Secondly, there are better NFD hands that we can x/c turn anyway. As9sxx for instant.

Simplistically you can barrel nfd if you either have fold equity or you expect villains to call down with worse FDs.

Yeah this hand is a clear valuebet here ott. Balance is very overrated even in midstakes imo.

wp if you folded river

fold. he had low wrap

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I called, he had KTT8r