Villian is a reg(28/20), he opens button. I 3bet sb AKT9ds, standard. I cbet A75r(I have 2 backdoor flush draws) and he inexplicably jams. His fold to cbet is 66% and raise cbet is 11%. Hero...?
It's just such a strange spot to jam. If he had 55/77 wouldn't he float and let me bet turn? It's such a dry board. By jamming, he's only getting called by worse and I could legit have aces.
A7/A5 is possible. As are wrap type hands. I ran some sims, I'm in bad shape against 77/55 obv. But against A7, I'm only a 39.6% dog. And against A5, I'm in even better shape with 45%. And against a full-wrap of 9864, I'm 46%. If I jam, I'm getting 35.5%(35.75 to win 100.5). So against these hands, I should be jamming. But I've been trying to tighten up and avoid light stack offs.
What do you guys do? Thoughts?
Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 5 Players
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#34617661
CO: $61.96 (123.9 bb)
BTN: $50 (100 bb)
Hero (SB): $50 (100 bb)
BB: $88.61 (177.2 bb)
MP: $27.94 (55.9 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with T
A
9
K
2 folds,
BTN raises to $1.75,
Hero raises to $5.75,
BB folds, BTN calls $4
Flop: ($12) A
5
7
(2 players)
Hero bets $8.50,
BTN raises to $36.96