V seems tight reg looking at his stats

Seems like a good turn for us, how do we react to the raise?

iPoker - €0.20 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 143.35 BB (VPIP: 17.61, PFR: 10.56, 3Bet Preflop: 4.41, Hands: 145)
SB: 195.6 BB (VPIP: 20.59, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 34)
BB: 181.85 BB (VPIP: 45.92, PFR: 17.35, 3Bet Preflop: 9.26, Hands: 99)
UTG: 40.15 BB (VPIP: 27.06, PFR: 15.29, 3Bet Preflop: 3.45, Hands: 85)
MP: 88.5 BB (VPIP: 46.88, PFR: 28.13, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)
Hero (CO): 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8 7 Q 8

fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (9.5 BB, 3 players) 2 5 A
BB checks, Hero checks, BTN checks

Turn: (9.5 BB, 3 players) 8
BB checks, Hero bets 6.65 BB, BTN raises to 29.45 BB, ????

Muck this preflop, unless you trying to widen our perceived range and going for a higher bb/100 with more variance. But I wouldn't bother.

Turn is pretty weird, it is a small pot, he could have checked back 34, I doubt he checks back Ah8h on flop, stats suggest he does not have alot of semi bluff. He can even have top set here. I am mucking here unless I see he is tilted or something.

I think it's a pretty big leak to have a check/folding range on this board in this situation. A 2/3 pot cbet with 4 blank cards will show a profit.

vs most i'd be jamming but would't be surprised if fold is best.

you really think cbetting 100% here is good adebisi? I'm definitely not doing that though have no math or anything to back it up. Also, if you are cbetting that wide, wouldn't a smaller sizing be better?

Quick and dirty ppt says one of our opponents has an A or better only 46% of the time. I don't think the button nit ever really floats or bluff raises here, and I think I can at least be close to break even on the cbet by selectively 2-3 barrelling vs. a flop ck/call from the bb fish.

I'm not mandatory c-betting this either tbh...where did you get your stats from about villains only having an A or better 48% of the time... that just seems wrong?

My decision to c-bet would depend on how aggro I'd been playing... if I'm playing snug then I'll def. c-bet but usually I'm not playing snug so I have to check!!

Turn as others have said is pretty weird. I guess given BTN's stats he isn't auto 3-betting every AA so it's possible he can have it but I think it's more likely he just checked back Axxx and then turned a FD (with maybe a SD too) We should pretty much discount 34 I think for combinatory purposes.

Since BTN has some percieved showdown value with Axxx + FD he probably won't decide to bluff river if we just flat turn. So I guess I just GII now.

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