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PLO2 awkward flop spot PLO2 awkward flop spot

03-06-2016 , 07:18 PM
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on the flop he bets really big and he would shove any turn if i called i guess. i have 8 outs here to a straight + 2 backdoor flush draws = cca 10 outs. however, i think he could easily have some of my straight outs so it could be lower than that.

just checked equilab, against any aa**/qq** i have 32%, against aq** 36%. against stuff like aaj* (one blocker card) it's 29% and against aajk (two blocker cards) 25%.

so, i guess this is closer to a fold?
PLO2 awkward flop spot Quote
03-07-2016 , 11:22 AM
If you are ranging him on that tightly then it's probably a fold but I think you are ranging him too tightly. Why do we instantly put him on top 2 or top set with lots of blockers? This is plo2, people aren't going to be playing extremely tight ranges preflop. You gave us no preflop stats or reads on villian so it's hard for someone not in the game to range them but it wouldn't be that crazy for villian to be doing this with Axxx or just could be a maniac/nit which heavily changes circumstances. It's likely we have somewhere around 35% many good turn cards.

If it was me playing this completely readless I would be flatting this bet and GII on the turn for any card that gives me a flush draw or I hit the straight and I am folding the rest of turns most likely(might call a 9 but probably not if they pot). Flatting the bet also looks strong with that many people in the hand. He probably won't be able to barrel his Axxx cards on the turn unless he hits two pair so I think we realize our equity fairly well.
PLO2 awkward flop spot Quote
03-07-2016 , 12:37 PM
you can call flop but folding is probably better. if you call and turn goes check check probably bet him off a q***
PLO2 awkward flop spot Quote
03-07-2016 , 12:37 PM
you have two bdfds you can continue on
PLO2 awkward flop spot Quote

      
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