link to hand
on the flop he bets really big and he would shove any turn if i called i guess. i have 8 outs here to a straight + 2 backdoor flush draws = cca 10 outs. however, i think he could easily have some of my straight outs so it could be lower than that.
just checked equilab, against any aa**/qq** i have 32%, against aq** 36%. against stuff like aaj* (one blocker card) it's 29% and against aajk (two blocker cards) 25%.
so, i guess this is closer to a fold?