PL50: typical AA flop spot - Small Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

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PL50: typical AA flop spot

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09-03-2015 , 05:24 PM

Chen Heiner

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2015 Posts: 167

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $41.38 (82.8 bb)
BB: $79.24 (158.5 bb)
UTG: $62.73 (125.5 bb)
MP: $51.10 (102.2 bb)
Hero: $164.76 (329.5 bb)
BTN: $50 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q

UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $5.25, 3 folds, MP calls $3.75

Flop: ($11.25) 4

(2 players)
MP checks, Hero ?

villain unknown

We block a T and the Qd, enough to b/c it off? Do we play this any differently without either one or both of these components?
Also what if we were CO vs BTN where I expect his defending range to hit the flop significantly more often.

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09-03-2015 , 07:02 PM

Mike Rotherby

enthusiast

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 90

I think you should pot it here. Only a very few hand ahead of you at this point. And villain has checked. Either some sort of trap or he wants a free card. Make the draws pay, sometimes they will have a monster but most of the time if you bet they do not have the right odds to continue.
Especially if he doesn't have diamonds what can he do ?

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09-04-2015 , 09:19 AM

ploomg

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 34

Tried to run some numbers on PJ. Put him on a 25% range, excluding 3% 4-betting range.

I put him on a following stack off range:
4+:dd (pair + flusdraw)
4+:56+(pair + gutshot)
56+:dd (gutshot + fd)
Add (any A-high fd)
84+(2p and better)
567+ (9 card wrap or better)

That will make 67% of flop range and our equity is 45% against it, EV of bet-calling is $4.91.

If we change Ts to 3c, shoving is still profitable, but has decreased to $1.48.

If we also change Qd to Qh (AhAsQh3c), bet-calling is exactly neutral EV $0.00.

So yes, it looks very much, that bet-calling is the play here.

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09-04-2015 , 10:57 PM

tokeweed

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 2,966

This is a bet/get the rest in. It's not a fist pump by any means but if villain c/r's here we could still very much see a lot of his range are hands that we beat.

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