I've attached a bunch of history we've played shortly before over a time span of 15 minutes. The hands occur in the order played.
Having a look at his stats and our history I was expecting a big river follow through almost always. Does that mean I should just fold the turn given the little improvement potential of my hand? He has a 90% VPIP though, quite a bunch of stuff missed and it starts to transpire that he's just auto betting vs flop weakness. Still a disciplined fold? What is roughly your check back/call down range at that point?
Preflop: Hero is BB with 4 3 Q J
MP folds, CO calls $0.25, BTN calls $0.25, SB completes, Hero checks
Flop: ($1.25) K Q 3 (4 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks, BTN checks
Turn: ($1.25) 6 (4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $1.20, CO raises to $4.80, 3 folds
Results: $3.65 pot ($0.16 rake)
Final Board: K Q 3 6
SB mucked and lost (-$0.30 net)
Hero mucked 4 3 Q J and lost (-$1.50 net)
CO mucked and won $3.49 ($1.99 net)
BTN mucked and lost (-$0.30 net)
Preflop: Hero is BB with T Q 6 J
UTG folds, MP calls $0.25, CO calls $0.25, BTN raises to $0.50, SB folds, Hero calls $0.25, MP calls $0.25, CO calls $0.25
Flop: ($2.40) T 4 7 (4 players)
Hero bets $2.30, MP raises to $9.20, 3 folds
Results: $7.00 pot ($0.30 rake)
Final Board: T 4 7
Hero mucked T Q 6 J and lost (-$2.85 net)
MP mucked and won $6.70 ($3.85 net)
CO mucked and lost (-$0.55 net)
BTN mucked and lost (-$0.55 net)
Results: $4 pot ($0.17 rake)
Final Board: 8 9 7
BB mucked and won $3.83 ($2.58 net)
MP mucked and lost (-$1.25 net)
Hero mucked K A 5 T and lost (-$1.25 net)
Yeah not sure of too many hand combos that can bet turn and river for pot here that we expect to be ahead of. Maybe TTxx on occasion but as mentioned above our hand plays no good on rivers unless we boat up but even then I don't expect to get much more money into the pot.
No missed flush draws and his sizing doesn't seem to look like blocking with worse. I think its a clear river fold. Turn is a little closer. Folding right away is safer and easier, but if you're confident in your abilities against villain I think you can get away with calling and re-evaluating river.
last hand in spoilers, what is reasoning for folding flop? You have bd nfd and lots of turn cards that change the board texture... Seems like a very easy call at the very least