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PL25 3bp: bottom2 + OESD sandwiched PL25 3bp: bottom2 + OESD sandwiched

11-29-2015 , 07:18 PM
    Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 5 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

    SB: $15.94 (63.8 bb)
    BB: $20.32 (81.3 bb)
    MP: $20.80 (83.2 bb)
    Hero (CO): $33.94 (135.8 bb)
    BTN: $22.80 (91.2 bb)

    MP 90/21 over 10 hands

    BTN 43/21 over 10 hands

    Preflop: Hero is CO with Q 7 T J
    MP calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.10, BTN raises to $2.50, 2 folds, MP calls $2.25, Hero calls $1.40

    Flop: ($7.85) J 7 K (3 players)
    MP bets $6.50, Hero ? ($18.30 eff. with MP, $20.30 with BTN)


    Both players involved seem fishy over a small sample but mainly due to stacksize and lines taken.
    Unfortunate spot facing MP's lead. Don't think I can call here so it's either push or fold. I also don't think I'm in great shape if we gii 3way but probably still in good enough to gii. Agreed?
    PL25 3bp: bottom2 + OESD sandwiched Quote
    11-29-2015 , 11:22 PM
    Don't expect to ever be getting your hand in here with the best of it, MP's lead is going to be rarely a hand that is folding this flop ever given the flop went multiway. Not enough stats to confirm, but if MP is a high vpip fishy kind of player I doubt he's competent enough to ever have hands that we're ahead of.

    Kind of gross spot since we should like our hand most of the time, but given BTN is still to act and he can wake up with KKxx, AAxxhh or any other host of HHHH w/ or w/o hearts its hard to call here given this board hits a regular tight 3bet range super hard. It would be an OK call here if you expect btn to have a wider 3bet range that includes middle to low type cards that kind of miss this board some but I don't expect that to be the case often.

    If this pot was heads up I'd probably opt to r/GII against MP but being sandwiched its just too hard to call here given BTN left to act.

    Not sure if I'm right about this one, just my best guess, its an awkward situation either way.
    PL25 3bp: bottom2 + OESD sandwiched Quote
    11-29-2015 , 11:23 PM
    ProPokerTools Odds Oracle Results (2.22 Professional)
    Board - Jc7hKh
    600000 trials (randomized)


    All-in Equity

     Equity %Wins Hi %Ties Hi %Wins Hi CountTies Hi Count 
    Qc7dTdJd44.2632%42.5108%3.5047%25506521028 
    40%!AAKK,JJ,77,KJ,...55.7368%53.9845%3.5047%32390721028 

    Need ~41% to get it in vs MP

    If we give BTN 10% 3bet range, he'll flop 2pr+ ~20% of the time and we'll have ~20% equity 3 way.

    Looks to be close either way. I'd prob just embrace the PLO variance and get it in here and accept the fact that when you raise a limper w/ QJT7ddd you'll be put in more than a few spots where you are flipping for stacks.
    PL25 3bp: bottom2 + OESD sandwiched Quote
    11-30-2015 , 08:46 PM
    Shipping.
    PL25 3bp: bottom2 + OESD sandwiched Quote
    12-03-2015 , 06:06 AM
    inin
    PL25 3bp: bottom2 + OESD sandwiched Quote

          
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