Overplayed my nut boat? - Small Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

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Overplayed my nut boat?

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10-06-2015 , 02:58 PM

eSBe

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 189

Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players - View hand 2796802
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $14.35
SB: $20.12 is 6/0 after 16 hands
Hero (BB): $14.25
UTG: $10.00
MP: $14.95
CO: $7.51

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with 9

2 folds, CO calls $0.10, BTN calls $0.10, SB calls $0.05, Hero checks

Flop: ($0.40) 6

(4 players)
SB bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30, CO folds, BTN folds

Turn: ($1.00) 6

(2 players)
SB bets $0.70, Hero calls $0.70

River: ($2.40) 9

(2 players)
SB bets $1.85, Hero raises to $4.90, SB raises to $17, Hero folds

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10-06-2015 , 03:48 PM

PastyDonkey

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 188

Bro...

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10-06-2015 , 04:03 PM

DMoogle

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 7,243

Bro...

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10-06-2015 , 04:03 PM

gryphon

newbie

Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 20

I think your only mistake is not calling. he could have a lower boat or maybe even a straight but I think a lot lot of his range will have higher boats. still have to call it off tho

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10-06-2015 , 04:16 PM

Brow2821

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 1,543

Quote:

Originally Posted by gryphon

I think your only mistake is not calling. he could have a lower boat or maybe even a straight but I think a lot lot of his range will have higher boats. still have to call it off tho

Lol. Great post. Hilarious.

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10-06-2015 , 04:21 PM

eSBe

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 189

He is leading into 4 players on the flop. He seems to be NIT. His range is probably AQ+(if he leads Q with lower kicker on the flop I do not think he continuous to vbet it on the river). When I raise river I have at least 99(but I have very few combos of 99 on the river) so my range looks like Q6+. When he reraises me he has to have stronger range. I thin that the worst hand he shoves is Q96. So I chop or lose...
Am I talking nonsense or overthinking it or have just too good of a price to fold? Maybe just jam river instead of minraising?

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10-06-2015 , 04:31 PM

Rei Ayanami

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 11,685

Quote:

I thin that the worst hand he shoves is Q96.

This is preposterous.

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10-06-2015 , 05:56 PM

SolarAU

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 1,795

Quote:

Originally Posted by gryphon

I think your only mistake is not calling. he could have a lower boat or maybe even a straight but I think a lot lot of his range will have higher boats. still have to call it off tho

What have I just read ITT lol.

Fist pump snap call river. 66 is a cooler for sure, but I think you run into Qx, 6x, Q6, Q9 etc. combos often enough to make this an easy call off, considering our flat-call line on flop and turn, our range looks a lot weaker than our actual hand. Definitely overplayed this spot. Calling it off here cannot possibly ever be -EV unless villain is super-nit 2k15.

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10-06-2015 , 07:16 PM

Loctus

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 11,159

Call and move on. This spot won't matter at all in the long run. Literally a waste of time thinking about.

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10-06-2015 , 10:46 PM

#10

eSBe

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 189

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rei Ayanami

This is preposterous.

What is the worst hand you jam for value in villains shoes?

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10-07-2015 , 12:13 AM

#11

Yumbula

banned

Join Date: Aug 2014 Posts: 234

Solid Fold

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10-07-2015 , 12:53 AM

#12

qwertz1

veteran

Join Date: Aug 2013 Posts: 2,243

Some Villans don't even understand that AQ isnt a boat here...

What do people think about raising pre?

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10-07-2015 , 02:13 AM

#13

SolarAU

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 1,795

Quote:

Originally Posted by qwertz1

Some Villans don't even understand that AQ isnt a boat here...

What do people think about raising pre?

OOP after half the table limps, not isolating any particular players by raising w/ what is a decently connected hand, the lack of suits, position, and high likelihood of playing a mw pot here - Probably just check and see a free flop and go from there.

Post flop will have to play fairly honestly.

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10-07-2015 , 04:54 AM

#14

ILoveLamp.

enthusiast

Join Date: May 2013 Posts: 78

Quote:

Originally Posted by gryphon

I think a lot lot of his range will have higher boats.

Quite...

I can't fold this without a huge read...

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10-07-2015 , 05:33 AM

#15

banshee

journeyman

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 363

Not feeling super great about it but definitely calling. You made it quite small OTR so he might be enticed to repot wider for value and he is just a complete unknown (lol @ deducing him being a nit after 16 hands) and folding here kinda requires a rock solid read.

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10-07-2015 , 12:17 PM

#16

plottingerrr

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 124

no offence but this is a no brain fold...

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10-07-2015 , 12:30 PM

#17

eSBe

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 189

thank you for you positive criticism @plottinegerrr. I really appreciate this.
I made some calculations. I gave SB preflop range 30% ! 6%. I assumed that he bet flop and TR with Q+ but b/jam river with Q9+(think that Q6 is too weak since he represents trips + very good kicker and my re raise represents boat). Given that I have 39% on the river(villains has 78% Q9 and 22% 66 in his range). My call has EV=0,77*3,65-0,22*8,25=2,81-1,81= +10BB- Easy bet/call but still not the worst mistake in the world.

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