I'd check and reevaluate river. Hand is a bluff catcher at this point, IMO, sure we can get called by lower sets and two pair but J/9/A based hands are in range as well as getting check raised out of the best hand.
I bet/call turn for sure. Getting rest in on non-J/9/A rivers. The river bet is a lot thinner though, don't mind checking versus unknowns, but there's certain guys I'd definitely want to bet again against.
yea, I guess SPR is so low that pot/call is fine... I'm just worried about villain's range a bit given how much we're blocking. But I guess it's a non-issue in the end.
JT8x/T98x are probably check folding. We can get value from QQ/TT/88, but there's only like 5 combos of those hands. He will sometimes have J9 afraid of AJ which won't c/f anyways. Just don't see enough of a reason to bet here.
Bet small (~18) and call-in if he raises. You offer "really good odds" to hands with 8 or fewer outs that think they have more (2pr+OESD, 2pr+FD, smaller sets), sometimes get him to "go with" similar hands and jam, and you aren't getting checked to with the nuts very often here anyway when that turn opens up so many drawing possibilities.
Since I think his c/c'ing range consists mostly of 2pr/sets/non-nut straights on blank rivers, I would probably check behind a lot on the river (straights will still call, weaker hands prob won't).
Two Plus Two
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