Easy Flop Fold vs Straight forward player? - Small Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

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Easy Flop Fold vs Straight forward player?

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09-08-2015 , 03:20 PM

MadDogMoody

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 621

I am just wondering who thinks this is just a clear flop fold?

Villain is 26/16 with 2 Afq, Folds to c-bet 80% over 20 occassions. He just has a dangler here and it has hit? I don't think villain calls pot from CO with 77 even if he does play 30% on the button.

Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37103809

BB: $2.53 (126.5 bb)
UTG: $5.71 (285.5 bb)
MP: $2 (100 bb)
Hero (CO): $2.57 (128.5 bb)
BTN: $3.31 (165.5 bb)
SB: $3.79 (189.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A

2 folds, Hero raises to $0.07, BTN calls $0.07, SB calls $0.06, BB folds

Flop: ($0.23) 2

(3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $0.17, BTN raises to $0.73, SB folds, Hero calls $0.56

Turn: ($1.69) 9

(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $1.63, Hero folds

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09-08-2015 , 03:31 PM

MadDogMoody

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 621

Using PPT I think I am about 2:1 vs his range on the flop so calling one is not terrible. This just depends if villain is raising A2 here or whether this is only ever 77. If it is only 77 then i am abviously in poor shape.

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09-12-2015 , 05:48 AM

Rei Ayanami

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 11,685

What range did you give him?

Either way, when you have ~33% equity against villain's flop raising range, it's a clear fold on that street, for similar reasons as we discussed in the other thread where direct pot odds were "enough" the calling ended up -EV. It would be a lot different if your outs were nuttier.

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09-12-2015 , 03:07 PM

Mt.FishNoob

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 12,241

not a good spot for him to bluff, altho he can be overplaying his own OP +fd if he is a donk where you have him wrecked, to a greater amount than his 77 has you wrecked. Problem is the bad players have a 2 often also

given your reads it seems like an easy fold on flop

fold to cbet stat is interesting over a small sample, as say he is just 1 tabling he is going to be going on a slight tilt from missing flops so much... maybe

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09-12-2015 , 03:19 PM

Mindead

adept

Join Date: Jun 2011 Posts: 1,030

I am agree you have to fold given reads on the flop. Without reads I would fold too, only with reads about the villain beeing overly aggresive I may think about a call here.

Anyway, what do you think guys about check/calling this spot? It's looks great for it because no turn card scare us so we control the pot with a great hand and encourages the BU to stab with a wide range when we check, and if he doesn't great, we make this hand a 2 street one

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