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10-20-2015 , 09:46 PM
#1
Mindead
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adept
Join Date: Jun 2011 Posts: 1,030
[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $11.61 (232.2 bb)
BB: $5 (100 bb)
UTG: $5.81 (116.2 bb)
MP: $6.04 (120.8 bb)
CO: $9.01 (180.2 bb)
BTN: $6.87 (137.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 7 T 8 9
2 folds, CO raises to $0.15, BTN folds, Hero raises to $0.50, BB folds, CO calls $0.35

Flop: ($1.05) 3 4 7 (2 players)
Hero ?

Villain 43/43 on 7 hands

Wich line would you prefer here?
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10-21-2015 , 02:47 AM
#2
thsheriff's Avatar
thsheriff
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centurion
Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 199
Your stats here are irrelevant. 7 hands isn't enough to make any reasonable assumptions about his range, and relying on stats like this can get you in trouble.

You block top pair and you block rundown combinations that could have made straights. I'd cbet this flop a little over half pot because with a pair, some back door straight possibilities and a back door T high flush, your hand isn't good enough to c/c.

With the blockers you've got you're unlikely to get raised here and betting could get him to fold JJ, QQ and some high card combinations that your hand isn't doing that well against.
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10-21-2015 , 02:58 AM
#3
Rei Ayanami's Avatar
Rei Ayanami
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 11,685
Quote:
Originally Posted by thsheriff
Your stats here are irrelevant. 7 hands isn't enough to make any reasonable assumptions about his range, and relying on stats like this can get you in trouble.

You block top pair and you block rundown combinations that could have made straights. I'd cbet this flop a little over half pot because with a pair, some back door straight possibilities and a back door T high flush, your hand isn't good enough to c/c.

With the blockers you've got you're unlikely to get raised here and betting could get him to fold JJ, QQ and some high card combinations that your hand isn't doing that well against.
Apart from the first paragraph, this post is entirely wrong, unfortunately. 7cTd8c9d actually raises the likelihood that villain has 65 -- or a hand that would raise this flop in general. This isn't hard to verify in PPT/OO. I'd suggest doing that in the future instead of relying on fictitious blocker reasoning.
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10-21-2015 , 03:29 AM
#4
Mindead
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adept
Join Date: Jun 2011 Posts: 1,030
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rei Ayanami
Apart from the first paragraph, this post is entirely wrong, unfortunately. 7cTd8c9d actually raises the likelihood that villain has 65 -- or a hand that would raise this flop in general. This isn't hard to verify in PPT/OO. I'd suggest doing that in the future instead of relying on fictitious blocker reasoning.
I esteem that correction.

What line do you like here anyway given the spot?
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10-21-2015 , 06:08 AM
#5
T_ONeill
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newbie
Join Date: Dec 2014 Posts: 28
don't like the 3bet given were 180bb effective, as played I'd cbet purely for fold equity. x/c seems bad as there aren't that many turns and rivers we can continue calling on. x/r would be OK as well since opponent rarely has the nuts or top set, but we don't have many 56xx or 77xx (probably none at all) either - a good player might notice and exploit that.
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10-21-2015 , 07:39 AM
#6
thsheriff's Avatar
thsheriff
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centurion
Join Date: Oct 2015 Posts: 199
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rei Ayanami
Apart from the first paragraph, this post is entirely wrong, unfortunately. 7cTd8c9d actually raises the likelihood that villain has 65 -- or a hand that would raise this flop in general. This isn't hard to verify in PPT/OO. I'd suggest doing that in the future instead of relying on fictitious blocker reasoning.
Point taken. Will post less on phone and take care with quality control.
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10-25-2015 , 05:43 PM
#7
Mindead
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adept
Join Date: Jun 2011 Posts: 1,030
Is ok for our game to have a cbet or check/fold strategy on this spot? That would not be exploitable?
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