Bluff catch too optimistic? - Small Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

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Bluff catch too optimistic?

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03-14-2014 , 04:25 AM

Hetsis

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 172

Only 3 hands on villain, so no reads except he is from Brazil

Decided to fire second barrel on the turn. In my experience people are giving up lots of weak ranges that pealed the flop when a scare card comes.

All the draws missed on the river and I was curious to see what his pot means to take a note. Is this fine?

Any other flaws comments on my lines?

Thanks!

PokerStars - $0.10 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 316.5 BB
SB: 130 BB
BB: 24.4 BB
UTG: 58.9 BB
Hero (MP): 200.8 BB
CO: 192.9 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8

fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) 6

Hero bets 5 BB, BTN calls 5 BB

Turn: (17.5 BB, 2 players) 4

Hero bets 11 BB, BTN calls 11 BB

River: (39.5 BB, 2 players) A

Hero checks, BTN bets 37.8 BB, Hero ?

Spoiler:

Last edited by Hetsis; 03-14-2014 at 04:27 AM. Reason: removed stats

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03-14-2014 , 08:07 AM

sauhund

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 5,936

i don´t think you have enough reason here to bluffcatch, readless, so the standard play is to fold. not a terrible call though against quite a lot players.

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03-14-2014 , 08:51 AM

Hetsis

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 172

Thanks!

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03-14-2014 , 10:15 AM

banshee

journeyman

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 363

I don't think this is a profitable call even if he bluffs all draws with a worse pair than Tx he can reasonably get to the river with. And even that is super optimistic, especially on PLO10.

I'd even be torn with A6.

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03-15-2014 , 07:24 AM

hackprotech

adept

Join Date: Jun 2011 Posts: 763

if you want to be a hero

c/r if not fold.

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03-15-2014 , 04:51 PM

Elrazor

losing momentum

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 13,803

No, after he calls the turn i don't see us being good here 33% of the time w/o reads.

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03-15-2014 , 09:06 PM

shimmy

adept

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 909

You have no diamonds in your hand so there's a decent chance he has the missed flush draw, trouble is quite a few of them beat you anyway so I think this one's a fold.

Also a Brazilian potting the river is very often the nuts or eff. nuts, certainly a value hand IME.

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