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 I try to read a hand and bluff  I try to read a hand and bluff

02-09-2016 , 09:11 PM
Bovada
5-handed

Relevant stacks:
Me: $52.75
UTG: $97.74
Button: $28.00

My hand: Q Q 8 3

UTG limps, c/o folds, button makes it $2.00, sb folds, I call, UTG calls

Flop: K 7 3
check, check, check

Turn: 7
check, check, Button bets $4.50, I c/r to $10.50 because he's unlikely to have a 7 and never has Kings, and they're both things I can easily have. Seems like his most likely hand is a club draw with an outside chance of a 7xxx hand. I make a small c/r so I can have a credible river shove.

River: 4 (pot: $25.90)
I put him all-in for $15.50

Thoughts?
 I try to read a hand and bluff Quote
02-09-2016 , 11:46 PM
Why is he unlikely to have a 7?
 I try to read a hand and bluff Quote
02-10-2016 , 02:05 AM
In comparison to the amount of club draws he could've picked up on the turn, the amount of 7's is tiny. I also think that some players will bet a 7 otf which makes it even less likely.
 I try to read a hand and bluff Quote
02-10-2016 , 02:29 AM
Plenty of random sevens check flop for a free card, and usually a king bets flop so there's not much you're bluffing out. A turn call might be better. That said I don't *hate* your play. It's not like a delayed cbet is that unheard of. I just think you need a more specific read for it to work.
 I try to read a hand and bluff Quote
02-10-2016 , 02:37 AM
Yeah, it only occurred to me afterwards that if I'm c/r'ing, I could probably just call/fold or call/call. Wasn't thinking it through and had an aggressive moment.
 I try to read a hand and bluff Quote
02-10-2016 , 04:55 AM
Seems unnecessary FPS for me.
 I try to read a hand and bluff Quote
02-10-2016 , 07:36 AM
What hand that we lose to do we expect our opponent to fold here? a king or AA?
 I try to read a hand and bluff Quote

      
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