2nd nuts facing potsize river lead - Small Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

Two Plus Two Forums Poker Strategy Omaha

2nd nuts facing potsize river lead

Post Reply Subscribe

...

10-25-2016 , 04:11 PM

banshee

journeyman

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 363

villain unknown

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $25.87 (103.5 bb)
BB: $15.10 (60.4 bb)
UTG: $25 (100 bb)
MP: $25.87 (103.5 bb)
Hero (CO): $25 (100 bb)
BTN: $48.51 (194 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 8

2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BTN folds, SB raises to $1.25, BB folds, Hero calls $0.50

Flop: ($2.75) 6

(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2.20, SB calls $2.20

Turn: ($7.15) J

(2 players)
SB bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50

River: ($14.15) K

(2 players)
SB bets $13.55, Hero ?

I can see him having QT a lot with this line, especially since his preflop action suggests him being a weaker player. Can we still savely fold this even though we're very high up in our range or would you still find a call here? Don't see many bluffs in his range either...

Quote

10-25-2016 , 04:35 PM

ShLUbY

newbie

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 49

If you don't see many bluffs in his range then I guess it's a clear fold. I would probably be folding this river myself, especially not having a read on this player. Basically your 2nd nut hand is a bluff catcher at this point. So unless you have seen this player getting caught bluffing, the line they have taken: Call, bet, pot, leads me to believe that they are not overplaying a set or two pair hand. also you only have one blocker to the QT in your hand. had you had TT7x, it would be harder for your villian to have the QT in their range, though not impossible.

Quote

10-25-2016 , 04:43 PM

Rei Ayanami

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 11,685

Quote:

Originally Posted by ShLUbY

also you only have one blocker to the QT in your hand. had you had TT7x, it would be harder for your villian to have the QT in their range, though not impossible.

Hardly makes a difference, since it will be quite rare for a potential bluff not to have a Q or T in them.

Quote

10-25-2016 , 05:31 PM

ShLUbY

newbie

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 49

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rei Ayanami

Hardly makes a difference, since it will be quite rare for a potential bluff not to have a Q or T in them.

right so you're saying ppl making the bluff will have a Q in their hand as a blocker to hero having the nuts?? if so that makes sense

Quote

10-25-2016 , 06:33 PM

Rei Ayanami

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 11,685

Quote:

Originally Posted by ShLUbY

right so you're saying ppl making the bluff will have a Q in their hand as a blocker to hero having the nuts?? if so that makes sense

It's as simple as the fact that any semibluff on this texture has a Q or T (or a 7!) in it. They don't even have to be thinking "hey, we block the nuts, let's bluff".

Last edited by Rei Ayanami; 10-25-2016 at 06:38 PM.

Quote

10-26-2016 , 02:51 PM

NMcNasty

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2004 Posts: 3,990

This is an easy call. He's an unknown with weird 3bet sizing and atypical postlflop play. Don't make a hero fold.

Quote

10-26-2016 , 06:47 PM

banshee

journeyman

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 363

Interesting. I could be convinced this is a call but to me it's pretty far from easy (unless he's from Scandinavia ofc

). I think his line isn't that atypical for a weaker player and strongly in line with a decent broadway hand, so his range should have a ton of QT in it.
Would you also call 75 then?

Quote

Post Reply Subscribe

...