$25 175bbs deep with 2nd nfd/pair + overpair - Small Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

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$25 175bbs deep with 2nd nfd/pair + overpair

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01-26-2016 , 06:57 PM

.isolated

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 21,495

6-handed on Bovada

I have $42 and am covered by villain who's playing 72/22 over 32 hands.

I have K

fold, limp, limp, I pot the button to $1.35, sb (villain) calls, bb folds, limper folds, limper calls

Flop is: T

check, check, I bet $3.25 into $4.55, sb c/r to $14.xx, fold, I ???

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01-26-2016 , 10:04 PM

SolarAU

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 1,795

Calling here sucks since SPR will be slightly less than 1 on turn and villain is jamming pretty much most turns.

I'm pretty much bet/GII on this flop against most opponents. Don't think it's terribly close at all.

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01-27-2016 , 01:07 AM

Controlling

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2015 Posts: 593

Even against a set of 7s you have 36% equity. So it isn`t usually very bad to get it in here.

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01-27-2016 , 03:36 AM

OmahaDonk

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 4,911

You'll need around 44% and you won't come close vs a lot of players at .10-.25.

Last edited by OmahaDonk; 01-27-2016 at 03:52 AM.

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01-27-2016 , 03:45 AM

OmahaFanatical4

banned

Join Date: Nov 2012 Posts: 5,123

my calculations have the requisite equity to stack off at closer to 44% (1.25:1) but perhaps I am doing the math wrong? we could also just see a turn, getting 2:1.

I could see a lot of very loose players going wild with two pair, wrap or other weak dominated draws as well as sets. probably we are in okay shape, but it's better to carefully observe your opponents and determine their play style rather than just blindly guessing. we're playing poker, not paper scissors rock

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01-27-2016 , 03:53 AM

OmahaDonk

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 4,911

Quote:

Originally Posted by OmahaFanatical4

my calculations have the requisite equity to stack off at closer to 44% (1.25:1) but perhaps I am doing the math wrong? we could also just see a turn, getting 2:1.

Yes you are right, I changed my post.

If villain is ever shoving hands like 89Jdd we should be getting this in. I just meant some players at low stakes (or live) will only show you sets and nfd+

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01-27-2016 , 06:36 AM

OmahaFanatical4

banned

Join Date: Nov 2012 Posts: 5,123

In general I think flop check raises from looser players are very strong but poker players are entirely heterogeneous so population tendencies are irrelevant from an analytic standpoint. Your task as a poker player is to discern the various intricacies of your opponents' play and then to devise a unique plan to exploit their weaknesses; anything less is simply button mashing.

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