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Small Stakes PL Omaha Discussion of 1/2 and below pot-limit Omaha poker

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Old 05-23-2012, 04:55 PM   #1
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10PLO: 3b pot oop, line/thougt check

Villain is 42/25 over <50 hands.
Trying to get some stuff down playing 3b pots oop as they're def one of the toughest parts of omaha.

Once he flats the flop he can have Ax, straight draws & flush draws himself.
I size it to set up a jam on the turn.
My main question is what to do on blank turns, I'm assuming he doesn't have a tonne of gut shots in his range so count 456789 & basically 2/3 as well as blanks.
Set me straight if I'm wrong here but I think a good chunk of his flop peeling range is Ax, the weaker ones he'll fold ott when he doesn't hit 2p. And AJ/AK he'll prolly stick it in with. If he calls with a draw that's fine by us cause then we have the best hand.
I dunno how many draws he continues with but it's def safe to say he'll fold some of them at least.

Stove after the hand:


    Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

    Hero (SB): $10 (100 bb)
    BB: $10.96 (109.6 bb)
    UTG: $19.57 (195.7 bb)
    MP: $8.57 (85.7 bb)
    CO: $6.32 (63.2 bb)
    BTN: $11.65 (116.5 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with 9 8 J Q
    2 folds, CO calls $0.10, BTN raises to $0.40, Hero raises to $1.40, 2 folds, BTN calls $1.00

    Flop: ($3) 4 A Q (2 players)
    Hero bets $1.80, BTN calls $1.80

    Turn: ($6.60) 7 (2 players)
    Hero jams




    Not sure how accurate this stove is, not sure how to use weights either, so could be way off, but this is his get it in range:

    ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation
    985,520 trials (Exhaustive)
    board: 4AQ7
    Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
    9hJh8sQs24.84% 244,76820
    A7, AKT, AJT, A4, KhTh, Ah3h, AJ, AK75.16% 740,73220

    I'm getting 33% from the pot on the turn jam, so he'd need to fold just less than 1/10 for us to be marginally +EV if my stove is close to correct.

    Given his range I'd say he could fold 1/5 times & that's a conservative estimate I think. Like the bad fd's, pear+sd that he peeled & bad Ax too. Thoughts?

    Thanks to all who reply.
    Tl;dr!
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    Old 05-23-2012, 05:25 PM   #2
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    Re: 10PLO: 3b pot oop, line/thougt check

    Looks fine to me. He's folding a lot on those turns.

    However, you got to assess your own aggressiveness and 3-bet% as if he's got reason to take you off AA you probably have zero fold equity.
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    Old 05-23-2012, 05:57 PM   #3
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    Re: 10PLO: 3b pot oop, line/thougt check

    wp
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    Old 05-23-2012, 07:53 PM   #4
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    Re: 10PLO: 3b pot oop, line/thougt check

    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Maffff View Post
    Looks fine to me. He's folding a lot on those turns.

    However, you got to assess your own aggressiveness and 3-bet% as if he's got reason to take you off AA you probably have zero fold equity.
    Thanks.
    I hadn't been 3betting him at all recently & there's no history at all really so he should think I'm pretty strong here.
    Definitely worth a consideration though.
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    Old 05-23-2012, 08:21 PM   #5
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    Re: 10PLO: 3b pot oop, line/thougt check

    u can just pot flop
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