Quote:
Originally Posted by DTLB
Well let's say you were BB and double barreled with a flopped set or a hand like KQ88 for TP and a turned set.
Turn completes a JT and river completes more straight draws. Would this be a standard c/c for you?
I imagine this wouldn't be an easy call as "Hero" likely wouldn't bet worse and would only bet a straight right?
true, but i´d also imagine enough players would play Tx like that, and enough live fish might sigh call anyway with sets regardless of board run out and your image.
obv not quantifyable, but imho above happens often enough that turning a still quite showdownable hand into a bluff in this spot has to be -ev, comparing the times he calls TX or sets combined with those times you had the best hand anyway and he folds compared to the rare times you get him to fold a better hand.
one thing that is quantifyable is how often your bluff has to work to be profitable.figuere that out, and also keep in mind that you have blockers for sets and even KT which makes him having a naked non nut str8 he´s never folding more likely in this very spot