1-2 hu spot with a trivial turn decision 200bb deep
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 4,930
To those saying we won't get paid off when we hit:
There are 4 major draws here (2 fd, 2 sd) and 2-4 of them are going to miss on river. This will be a great spot for villain to check call on any river (this is actually a good spot for villain to check or bet tiny in the dark before river comes out.)
To those discussing a check/pot/fold range for villain:
I'm sure it exists but it's a bit optimistic on this board. A weak draw + weak made hand (9TJxdd) makes sense.
To those worried about getting bluffed:
We have KJ high
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 1,089
Just to add my 2 cents:
How are we exactly expecting villain to have a semi-bluff himself, seeing as we hold the majority of the relevant cards to be doing it with (Ks, Jc)? And if he is doing it with AJs and a pair, we're even more screwed than if he has QQ/TT/QT, which he will have pretty much always here. For him to check pot raise bluff AFTER you pot the turn on a board you smash pretty hard as the PFR (even HU) is suicidal and it's naive to say "well he is playing super exploitable if he never has a bluff here".
You're in position. Call, realize the sick equity you have, value town him when you hit, and bluff non flush K and J rivers.
