Quote:
Originally Posted by gingersnaps
18M is a lot of chips in this tournament, he could have found a better spot IMO than calling off with king high on the river.
I could do a more detailed analysis, but probly not worth it b/c it's a simple hand.
As a poker player, you want to make the correct decison or most +EV play (unless you could commit ICM suicide b/c of payout structure). You want to only focus 100% of your brain power on call/fold
Daniel N KQ beats 56, 57, 67, 79, 710, 910, q9, q10, k10 x 16 combos each = 144 hands - 9 spade flushes.
Almost all Ax, Jx, and 8x check back the river and take their SD value. They don't fire 3 bullets.
He only loses to boats, flushes, quads and trips such as A4 = 4 combos, 44 = 1 combo, 88 = 2 combos, JJ, AA, 910ss, 48, j4, etc. All of these hands have very few combos. And some trip 4's don't bet the turn
Daniel is getting over 2:1 in a spot he is good 67%+ against Colman who likes to take agressive lines with most of the 135 combos he beats.
1. the x-factor variable is that this is a live tournament. Colman may be more gun shy with those 135 combos under the bright lights against someone who can soul read. On the computer this is a snap call