hello can someone suggest to the Poker Guys to break down hand between David Baker and Eric Hellman from the WSOP 2012 Main Event.

It is a bluff vs bluff hand. Hellman wins with a monster river bluff and shows.

It is also blind vs blind

Please help me this hand I need to see what they are thinking. I am playing the main event and I do not have any strategy for blind vs blind. I don't know how to play blind vs blind. If it folds around I usually just fold the small blind cause I don't want to get mixed up in a hand out of position and no idea of opponent range.

I need to hear expert analysis . PLEASE. I do not want to piss away 10K of my family money. Have like 50 people giving me $100 bucks each as a birthday present.

This sounds fundamentally solid, OP. You can't lose what you don't put in the middle!

Quality thread here.

Actually I don't think "the poker guys" are that good, try asking someone like alec torelli, Kidpoker or Doug Polk.

Here's my take on the hand (BvB isn't my specialty so take this with a grain of salt)

Preflop: standard open and call (could throw in a 3bet sometimes)

Flop: Standard cbet from Baker because he can rep hands like AA, KK, AK and some middle pairs better than his opponent since he would 3bet those preflop most of the times.

Turn: now this is where baker gets tricky and I think I know why. He goes for the checkraise because he doesn't block any flushdraws and his opponent is less likely to have K9 and KT which would call the checkraise. Also if his opponent calls and river is a spade he can represent flushdraw and go all in and make him fold better hands.

River: he now doesn't block any flushdraws so he fires the river barrel hoping for a fold. Hellman can't really call and has to bluff some % of time so he decided to do it now (probably used some kind of a randomiser).

pics or GTFO!!!

Were your BBV threads not getting enough attention?

They still make videos :O

Expert analysis: You are not ready to play the Main Event. Pocket the $10K birthday gelt, write each of the nice people a personal thank you note, and make next year a goal.

If you can hold on to that $10K for a year, while you learn something about your skill-set, then you might be ready in 2018.

and this is why people can charge 2.5 mark up for the main lol GLGL

I wouldn't pay 2.5 mu on OP's ME. 2.4, maybe, but 2.5 seems like a stretch.

you can't tweet it at them yourself?

I posted some hands in BBV to try to look cool and fit in here but they weren't real.

No in reality I have played at Foxwoods a few tourneys the past few months to get ready. I am 2 for 5 cashing. Both are min cashes.

But I think I'm ready because I read Hellmuth book and Dan Harrington on holdem. I've watched every main event. And I watch all the Polk videos and Negreanu and Poker Guys.

I think I can be okay for one reason only because of the structure. I am going to play super tight and never play a big pot unless I have two pair or better, combo draw or better.

Even with overpair I will only keep small pots. No big pots unless I have nuts, nuts draw, or almost the nuts (like top 2 pair).

And I am never going to call out of position to 3 bet without a very strong hand. I must stay in position.

And at Foxwoods I was almost 4/5 cashing. My tight style never grows me a big stack but I don't get knocked out early either. But I think in the main event this helps me more. I have studied it and seen that on day 4 is the cash and that some stacks that cash are almost as low as the starting stack. All I need to do is cooler a few people, double up twice and then sit on my stack a few days.

"Everybody has a plan, until they get punched in the mouth."

-- Mike Tyson

Can't tell if trolling or serious