Quote:
Originally Posted by blankoblanco
but the action didn't take place on a random flop, it took place on a specific flop.
From my perspective, I was making a fairly accurate observation. When 8 rational players see a flop those that don't hit fold to aggression those that hit remain.
Even though against 2 players preflop AA has a 60 plus chance of prevailing, after 8 players see the flop and 5 fold leaving a total of 3 remaining players battling for the pot, then AA chances of prevailing do not move up from approximately 30 to approximately 60 plus. They remain at approximately 30, barring any additional information.
Once one player bets substantially and the second remaining opponent flat calls, AA has additional information to conclude that its chances of prevailing have been further reduced. Assuming rational players.
IMO