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2014 WSOP Main Event - Nov. 9 - The Final Table is formed!

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11-10-2014 , 11:50 PM

#51

Rmbxr9

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 4,818

Is there another live 11/10 ESPN thread I should be posting in?

Either way, Spanish dude just checked back a set...?
Wha wha what?

Quote

11-10-2014 , 11:54 PM

#52

neverclassy

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 195

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rmbxr9

Is there another live 11/10 ESPN thread I should be posting in?

Either way, Spanish dude just checked back a set...?
Wha wha what?

Ya.... that was ridiculous, but im glad because I really want to see Newhouse take this down!

Quote

11-11-2014 , 12:07 AM

#53

slowkey

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 270

Anybody here want to confess to doing the Dutchman's hair weave?

Quote

11-11-2014 , 12:40 AM

#54

refinedsugar

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 562

Back to back final tables, back to back 9th place finishes.

Quote

11-11-2014 , 12:51 AM

#55

brownsbuck

centurion

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 164

Quote:

Originally Posted by refinedsugar

Back to back final tables, back to back 9th place finishes.

The odds for that must be astronomical. That's so unlikely it's staggering...

Quote

11-11-2014 , 02:03 AM

#56

Turnem83

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 17

Quote:

Originally Posted by brownsbuck

The odds for that must be astronomical. That's so unlikely it's staggering...

I think there was 6638 runners so if you assume he has a slight edge against the field then it is less than 6638/1 to happen, not that astronomical really.

Quote

11-11-2014 , 02:19 AM

#57

neverclassy

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 195

Quote:

Originally Posted by Turnem83

I think there was 6638 runners so if you assume he has a slight edge against the field then it is less than 6638/1 to happen, not that astronomical really.

I don't think the math is that easy...

Quote

11-11-2014 , 02:24 AM

#58

Turnem83

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 17

Quote:

Originally Posted by neverclassy

I don't think the math is that easy...

It's certainly not exact but it's easy to get pretty close, someone finishes 9th every year so providing they enter the year after the chance of them finishing 9th again is approximately the amount of runners/1.

Quote

11-11-2014 , 02:31 AM

#59

neverclassy

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 195

Quote:

Originally Posted by Turnem83

Eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeehhhhhhhhhhhhhhh i don't think its that easy still

Quote

11-11-2014 , 02:35 AM

#60

neverclassy

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 195

The odds of reaching consecutive final tables in 2013 and 2014 are 1 in 524,079.

Let alone finishing ninth both times?

To be continued....

Quote

11-11-2014 , 02:38 AM

#61

Turnem83

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 17

[QUOTE=neverclassy;45203465]Eeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeehhhhhhhhhhhhhhh i don't think its that easy still

Its close enough either way not to be astronomical, it's between 2000-8,000/1 without knowing the first thing about Newhouse .

If you think not show me your working

Quote

11-11-2014 , 02:42 AM

#62

neverclassy

centurion

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 195

im to drunk to think here is the link rink a dink dink
http://espn.go.com/blog/poker/post/_...es-achievement

Quote

11-11-2014 , 03:11 AM

#63

Turnem83

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 17

Quote:

Originally Posted by neverclassy

The odds of reaching consecutive final tables in 2013 and 2014 are 1 in 524,079.

Let alone finishing ninth both times?

To be continued....

This may be true if you are talking about a specific person, I am talking about the odds of anyone doing this, I guess there was nine people who played this year who final tabled last year so I guess the odds of one of them final tabling is about 700/1

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11-11-2014 , 02:54 PM

#64

The Big Pickle

enthusiast

Join Date: Dec 2010 Posts: 86

Quote:

Originally Posted by Turnem83

I think there was 6638 runners so if you assume he has a slight edge against the field then it is less than 6638/1 to happen, not that astronomical really.

Assuming the field is exactly the same each year, the odds of making the final table two years in a row are......

(9/6638) X (9/6638) = 543,998 to 1

Quote

11-11-2014 , 04:06 PM

#65

brandoncla

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 5,728

hope Newhouse is okay, I wouldn't be. Seriously tho go on vacation do something really fun and forget about it.

just to comment on the play, it's really just a mistake in image awareness because if Pappas does the exact same play he gets the fold.

Quote

11-11-2014 , 08:01 PM

#66

Turnem83

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 17

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Big Pickle

Assuming the field is exactly the same each year, the odds of making the final table two years in a row are......

(9/6638) X (9/6638) = 543,998 to 1

Ok you give me 10,000/1 that someone who makes the final table in 2015 will make the final table in 2016?

Quote

11-11-2014 , 08:03 PM

#67

Turnem83

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 17

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Big Pickle

Assuming the field is exactly the same each year, the odds of making the final table two years in a row are......

(9/6638) X (9/6638) = 543,998 to 1

There are 6638 people who could acheive this amazing feat though

Quote

11-11-2014 , 09:45 PM

#68

Rawlz517

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 58,244

Quote:

Originally Posted by Turnem83

Ok you give me 10,000/1 that someone who makes the final table in 2015 will make the final table in 2016?

Not the same thing.

Quote

11-11-2014 , 11:46 PM

#69

Turnem83

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 17

Quote:

Originally Posted by SirRawrsALot

Not the same thing.

I know that's my point, it's astronomical odds (3m+/1?)that J.bloggs finishes 9th two years running but only appropriately 6,500/1 that someone finishes 9th two years running, ya get me?