Originally Posted by fluorescenthippo
i cant really tell what he is trying to say but it seems like everyone is misunderstanding sngluckanalzyer. everyone always says it cant tell when you run into the tops of ranges, or loose oppenents skew the results, etc, well of course it cant thats not the point of the program. the program is to see how you run AFTER you are all in. the program is 100% perfect for cash games so it is for sngs, as long as the structure is taken into account but im pretty sure everyone is arguing about this program not be able to do more than it can without being bias, which is lol impossible. and obv i know blackize knows this, im just quoting him, we have talked about pokerev a lot.
so can bones/slim pickens or someone else fill me in on how sngluckanalzyer is flawed maybe im missing it.
It only measures a very specific part of the luck involved in all-in pots.
Of the following situations, which would you consider more unlucky?
Situation A- 7 handed, midgame. You have 6bbs and shove AJ from the sb. BB calls with KTo and wins.
Situation B- 4 handed, 2 stacks have less than 2bbs each. Folded to you in the sb where you cover the other big stack by 10 chips. You have AKs and shove. BB has aces and wins.
Situation A shows you getting it in pretty good and losing in a standard spot that happens a million times. Situation B shows you getting it in really bad even though BB can call with mayyyybe KK+.
I don't know a single sng player who would consider situation A more unlucky than B, regardless of the cards. While situation B is an extreme example, it's not uncommon at all in sngs for very similar situations to arise.
I'm sure it's a useful psychological tool for some people, but it's clearly not an accurate tool to determine precisely how you're running in comparison to longterm expectations.