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| STT Strategy Discussion about the play of single table tournaments. |
06-23-2012, 01:06 AM
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#16
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See my coaching listing
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 234
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Re: VALUBET RIVER WITH SEC PAIR
Quote:
Originally Posted by entim
Guys. Two flush draws missed. I value bet K4-A3 as minimum and I don't lead turn as
standard.
We probably only need opponent for Tx to bet turn always for us to valuebet at least 4x on river.
I think he will be tempted to keep betting a reasonable percentage of gutshots/draws
that are behind on turn. I think bluffing hands will not be tempted by this river, compared
to a club or diamond. As semi-thinking, he will realise you must put him on Jx some % of
the time to make his play profitable..
Given our turn information c/c most value hands on river will be unprofitable compared to betting.
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Nothing to add here. Great comments!
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06-23-2012, 01:28 AM
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#17
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Russia
Posts: 3,522
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Re: VALUBET RIVER WITH SEC PAIR
I can see myself leading turn 80 and def leading out river to get value for 4 or 7 or smth more ridic. If villian checks turn often we really wanna lead imo.
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06-23-2012, 05:14 AM
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#18
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Proud supporter of Ms POG 2013
Posts: 23,208
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Re: VALUBET RIVER WITH SEC PAIR
This is one of those infuriating hands where OP simply wants confirmation that what he already thinks is right. If you already believe the guy won't ever bluff, value bet. Why even ask the question?
I'm still struggling to see how if we showed strength by check/calling the flop and checking the turn, why villain will now think we have a worse hand than 3x. You want two things to be true at the same time that can't often be: that we showed more strength but that we actually only have a missed draw. We can't even have that many draws to start with, given that one came in (entim has to have misread the board).
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06-23-2012, 11:28 AM
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#19
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Russia
Posts: 3,522
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Re: VALUBET RIVER WITH SEC PAIR
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06-24-2012, 02:16 AM
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#20
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grinder
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 613
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Re: VALUBET RIVER WITH SEC PAIR
leading the turn is LOLbad.
and this is the easiest value bet on the river ever. if you are not betting this river for value don't play heads up.
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06-24-2012, 06:03 AM
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#21
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See my coaching listing
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 234
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Re: VALUBET RIVER WITH SEC PAIR
Quote:
Originally Posted by dirty.brasil
leading the turn is LOLbad.
I don't think it is always bad, the opponent have to bluff a significant amount on turn, but i think most players will do that.
and this is the easiest value bet on the river ever. if you are not betting this river for value don't play heads up.
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I agree, but it is amazing to see how many players disagree and check
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06-25-2012, 12:24 AM
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#22
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Russia
Posts: 3,522
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Re: VALUBET RIVER WITH SEC PAIR
Quote:
Originally Posted by dirty.brasil
leading the turn is LOLbad.
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Really don't get it. Would only be lol bad if you never float donk bluff. Elaborate why its LOLBAD. Ive played some 20k 50$ ST HUs fwiw.
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06-25-2012, 04:59 AM
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#23
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veteran
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Rizzle Kicking
Posts: 3,214
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Re: VALUBET RIVER WITH SEC PAIR
What I really dont get is how in 2 posts in 2 different forums no one ever says "fold pre".
I mean is it really that standard to call a raise being oop, having 12.5BBs and T6s.
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06-25-2012, 05:04 AM
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#24
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See my coaching listing
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 234
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Re: VALUBET RIVER WITH SEC PAIR
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ronny Mahoni
What I really dont get is how in 2 posts in 2 different forums no one ever says "fold pre".
That was my mistake. I said at the other thread that it was at the wrong place but that didn't help.
I mean is it really that standard to call a raise being oop, having 12.5BBs and T6s.
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This is a pretty standard call in my opinion. T6s plays pretty good and you get great odds to call. Your OOP but still I think it is an easy call.
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06-25-2012, 12:11 PM
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#25
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: Minneapolis, MN
Posts: 5,514
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Re: VALUBET RIVER WITH SEC PAIR
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ronny Mahoni
What I really dont get is how in 2 posts in 2 different forums no one ever says "fold pre".
I mean is it really that standard to call a raise being oop, having 12.5BBs and T6s.
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Sir we have 25bb insta defend vs his huge range. I would reckon a large % of this forum would said fold pre to half of bernards defend range
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06-25-2012, 01:31 PM
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#26
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: I just want the fish his money
Posts: 3,978
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Re: VALUBET RIVER WITH SEC PAIR
Turn brings a 3rd diamond. We have none. We have TP. Villian will check back turn with any diamond, 3,4,5,6,7. If he bets turn, hes repping absolutly nothing but some big draws(which he would most likely check), big PPs, 56 or a T. Villian will call turn bet with all the mentioned hands above.
Op will not only bet turn with made hands. This is rather important.
River is a brick. In villians view, hes not calling any bet. If he was repping anything on the flop, the turn and river are really ****ty. If he was just doing it cuz he does it %75 of the time, then he can actually try to rep a T or J. More a Jack than a T, since he checks turn.
Given the shallowness of hypers, theres probly merit in thinking the wont spew off anything on river with air and just check... That only Bernardc knows... Super important to know what kinda villian he is. Because all we really know is that you sit him and cbets 75%. If i knew this guy tipically cbets ip, then shuts down completely IP if he doenst hit anything, then you can make a decision of whether check turn, bet river, or bet turn etc...
If villian is type that will not give up on a hand if shown any sorta of weakness on turn and then river, i would expect him to throw in some chips in the middle. But if hes villian described first, i doubt hes gonna be making too many hero call on rivers with much worse.
Im just saying thats the way i would play the hand this one time. I dont see anything wrong with checking back turn , then leading river and hope for a hero call at best.
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06-25-2012, 05:38 PM
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#27
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See my coaching listing
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 234
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Re: VALUBET RIVER WITH SEC PAIR
It is very interesting hand and you can play it in many ways that aren't particular wrong.
The only thing that is terrible is folding preflop and folding to his c-bet. raising c-bet sometimes seems fine as well. Leading on turn seems ok in some situations were villain does not bluff too much on turn. But i still think betting the river is much better then checking.
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06-25-2012, 05:44 PM
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#28
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See my coaching listing
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 234
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Re: VALUBET RIVER WITH SEC PAIR
If villian is type that will not give up on a hand if shown any sorta of weakness on turn and then river, i would expect him to throw in some chips in the middle. But if hes villian described first, i doubt hes gonna be making too many hero call on rivers with much worse.
I made the bet on river and he folded and he didn't continu his bluff on turn and he probably did not have 4 or 3 or ace high because he folded to my riverbet.
So you are right about how you catogorize this opponent and I was wrong in this hand. Leading turn would have been better vs guy that doesn't bluff on scary cards on turn.
Thanks a lot for your share in this discussion!
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