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Turned top set vs river raise Turned top set vs river raise

07-06-2017 , 05:27 AM
Early in a 9max SnG so no read on villain yet

PokerStars - 10/20 Ante 3 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (MP): 77.25 BB
MP+1: 73.9 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
MP+2: 72.9 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
CO: 92.25 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
BTN: 78.95 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
SB: 70.2 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
BB: 87.75 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
UTG: 47.4 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 4)
UTG+1: 74.4 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)

9 players post ante of 0.15 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.85 BB) Hero has A A

fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, MP+2 calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (10.85 BB, 3 players) 7 8 3
BB checks, Hero bets 5 BB, MP+2 calls 5 BB, fold

Standard Cbet for value here. When he calls I think his range is a pair on the board, maybe under pairs, a straight draw of some kind, floats with 2 overcards and potentially 99/1010 but I feel they would raise here so less likely.

Turn: (20.85 BB, 2 players) A
Hero checks, MP+2 checks

Following my flop read, I feel betting here folds out a lot of his draws and weaker pairs, whereas checking allows villain to bluff, where I can then c-raise, or if he checks behind I can more easily get value on the river.

River: (20.85 BB, 2 players) Q
Hero bets 11 BB, MP+2 raises to 26 BB, Hero?

Considered going for a c-raise on the river for the same as my reasoning on the turn, but after his turn check I feel his range is more weighted to pairs and under pairs so would lose value from a check behind, whereas they may call a small bet.

As played I wasn't sure whether to call on the river. I don't think the Q hits his range all that much and doesn't complete any obvious draws other than backdoor hearts. I rarely think he's bluff raising in this spot so my real question is what is he raising for value here? Thoughts?
Turned top set vs river raise Quote

      
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