I have a live hand from this weekend...
9 players, Blinds are $1/$3
UTG $275
Old Man Fish ~$75
Me BB $300
All others from $100ish to $400ish
I am in the BB with J
9
UTG raises to $15, 6 calls LOL, I call $10
Flop 7
8
9
(pot is $120)
Hero checks, UTG bets $30, 2 folds, Old Man Fish raises to $62 all in, 3 folds, Hero shoves.
My question is mainly about whether I really care if UTG calls a shove with an overpair? I don't know if he is capable of folding an overpair--my guess is that he would fold if I shove. Also, calling PF is absolutely 100% standard here, right? I was planning on check raising the flop. Is leading better?
The other relevent info is Old Man is super LAP pf (prolly like 80/5) and TAP post flop--bets with hands, and checks or calls without hands. Here I am absolutely certain he has at least 2-pair and will never be semi-bluffing here. He could have A9 or K9 but unlikely as he would have just called.
UTG is a co-worker of mine and is decently aware of PF values but I don't really know how how he plays post flop. I am absolutely certain he has a big pair here JJ+ and possibly A
K
. From what I know he prolly doesn't have TT or a set.