Originally Posted by thepiper777
In short yes you could have a 200 buy in downswing. FWIW 18 mans have higher levels of variance than 9 mans and coping with them is probably the hardest part of grinding sngs. The worst thing you can do when things turn bad n nothing holds, or you run kings into aces over n over, or you cant win a flip, etc etc is alter your strategy n play scared.
For example if someone is shoving on you every hand and you have a hand like AT or A9 n you know that you probably have the best hand and would normally snap call but the last 10 times you did that you got sucked out on or ran into a monster hand, the worst thing you can do is play scared, fold and hope for better. If you know you're running bad and have a solid strategy, keep playing that strategy and hope your luck changes.
Note that I said "if you KNOW you're running bad...", I am not advocating always playing the same way in the face of huge losses. If you have a coach who is analysing your game it sounds to me like its some ugly variance, but keep trying to look for ways to improve your game and ride out the harder times.
Look at the samples of the best 18 man grinders, notice their downswings and compare them to your own - you'll probably find they've had some pretty hard times too.
Hey guys, sorry about the long quote but i thought i should tell you how it ended.
The downswing came close to the 200 buyins but now i realize it was a mix of running bad, playing bad and drifting heavily.. after that down i got a new coach and he improved my game by a lot, helping me beat the down in just a month.
This are my last 3 months of the 18mans (3.5s and 7s).
Just wanted to let you know everything worked fine, thanks for the answers!.