Quote:
Originally Posted by WoosBrain
Am I thinking about this right or not? If I am does anybody have a clue how to accuratley calculate your actual $EV including future play.
You think right about a lot of things, there is just this mistake:
Quote:
Originally Posted by WoosBrain
I am aware that ICMizer 2 has got FGS but from what I've read that is only considering blinds and position not actually the $EV of playing your next hand(s).
Blinds and position are actually a function of future hands, they are accounted for in the FGS calculations.
e.g:
If u're UTG and using FGS 2 incorporating the next 2 hands in the calc, it will give u a bigger opt. jamming range than icm cause it knows u're gonna post two blinds and others won't have to. If u include the next 4 hands, so having 2 w/o posting blinds, the former opt. calc jamming range gets smaller again cause others are gonna post the blinds.
Here's info on how FGS works:
http://www.icmpoker.com/en/blog/how-...culator-works/
Q has lots of more infos on it, he's good
However always remember one important thing: FGS is assumed perfect nash equilibrium ranges in future hands. This is not reality in poker, ppl differ from it. This can have HUGE effects on what ranges are actually optimal in spots, esp. on/close to bubbles.
e.g.:
You're on the bubble of a 6m and calculate your openjamming range with FGS5 (which'd be a pretty cool decision on the model cause it has every player posting equal blinds
). This assumes both villains are making nash equilibrium decisions within the next hands. But one or both might actually be very bad at poker and call 60% instead of the optimal 12% or the big stack sb walking the bb where jamming 32o is +2% or w/e. So this can largely influence your opt jamming range, cause opp might be willing to make these mistakes FGS can not include in the calcs. Rarely is a model "perfect" in a situation where ppl aren't exactly regs who use the identical model and make the exact decisions.
We have to find one that suits reality the closest and then use our brains to adapt it to what we estimate the real villains to do. FGS does pretty well just imho and it really helps to practice with it for everyone taking sng poker serious
GL at the tables!
Last edited by LeaksSuck; 05-28-2017 at 07:44 AM.