Quote:
Originally Posted by samurai_tony
Hi, i am trying out the 50/50's and over the past 2 days ive played 200 $15 and 40 $30 losing around $550 but my $ev says i should be +340. This seems an awfully big gap to me, I am using HEM2 to track the results and i am wondering how accurate the $ev is ( how many 1000's of games are needed to get a vaguely accurate sample? ), and if there is a way of finding out if HEM2 is calculating it incorrectly.
I would love to think even after such a tiny sample i should be up but it seems like its just such a huge difference to me after only 200 games.
Thanks for any answers.
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By my calculations you were running about 50 BIs under EV, and when I first read this I thought it wasn't possible to run that bad in just two days play and thought it was likely HEM2 is simple not calculating it right, until...
Granted my sample is a bit more than yours but still, just two days play as well. So yeah, I guess it is very possible to be that much under EV in such a short span of games and why people are always emphasizing the need for a 200 BI bankroll these days.