facing donkbet w/ overcards + FD OTB?????? - MTT Poker Strategy

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facing donkbet w/ overcards + FD OTB??????

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02-22-2017 , 11:27 AM

CZECHSHARK

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 506

Hi guys, 7$ session 6max bubble. How vould you react OTF? I think that villain would have often 6x with FD, 7x, 8x - not sure how often he will be folding.

When I calculate profitabilty of my semi bluff....is it enough to figure out FE etc compare numbers and that's it? Or does ICM influences us here so much when semi bluffing all in?

He was playing 26/21, 50 hands agg%44

Poker Stars, $6.48 Buy-in (100/200 blinds, 25 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 3 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37648006

Hero (BTN): 2,744 (13.7 bb)
SB: 3,313 (16.6 bb)
BB: 2,943 (14.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with A

Hero raises to 400, SB folds, BB calls 200

Flop: (975) 6

(2 players)
BB bets 400, Hero raises to 2,319 and is all-in, BB calls 1,919

Turn: (5,613) 5

(2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (5,613) J

(2 players, 1 is all-in)

Spoiler:

Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.

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02-22-2017 , 12:34 PM

expat

journeyman

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 246

I would push all in preflop - really hate the minraise at this stage.

As played, your flop raise allin looks like exactly like it is - a flush draw.

BB can call here with a wide range and still be flipping.

Although, after looking at the spoiler, his call is awful.
Take a note he's capable of calling AI with a draw

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03-01-2017 , 06:58 AM

LektorAJ

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2014 Posts: 7,826

ICM should influence us but it should also influence villain's calling range (in the case of a weak player it's not so much ICM in the sense of formulae, but as a more subjective desire not to bubble).

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