Blinding out or shoving K5s into three shorties on bubble? - MTT Poker Strategy

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Blinding out or shoving K5s into three shorties on bubble?

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06-27-2015 , 10:34 AM

obbudsman

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 1,472

Should I have shoved? With around 4.5BB, by not shoving I sort of let myself blind out. However, there are three short stacks behind me who are likely to call me, or push into each other if I don't shove, letting me coast into the money. They are no fish, but no tough regs either. Would you push ATC here regardless?

Full Tilt - $5|400/800 NL - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (CO): 4.69 BB
BTN: 4.22 BB (VPIP: 21.71, PFR: 16.71, 3Bet Preflop: 5.50, Hands: 819)
SB: 4.85 BB (VPIP: 15.19, PFR: 12.42, 3Bet Preflop: 4.19, Hands: 1,135)
BB: 3.12 BB (VPIP: 20.75, PFR: 15.55, 3Bet Preflop: 4.00, Hands: 1,289)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K

fold, fold, SB raises to 4.85 BB and is all-in, fold

SB wins 2 BB

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06-27-2015 , 12:30 PM

Viral25

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 1,857

Hard to blind out when your 2nd in chips. Somebody is gonna bust out/have <1bb left after this hand more often than not.

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06-27-2015 , 12:35 PM

obbudsman

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 1,472

I agree, but should I be sacrificing my fold equity in such spots? Because that's what hitting the blinds actually means (especially if I would've had 4BB instead of 4.5)

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06-27-2015 , 01:23 PM

Viral25

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2013 Posts: 1,857

Look at the hand you posted. Apparently 2.12bb's effective still equals fold equity

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Run it in a future game simulator if you wanna be sure.

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06-27-2015 , 01:29 PM

obbudsman

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 1,472

Haha true. I'm not familiar with FGS yet. I use SNGWiz 2, which doesn't have such a functionality. Do you recommend Icmizer for FGS simulations?

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