Originally Posted by downswing4ever
Defo priced in to call here with 88, calling 1530 into 4160, only need 37% to call
Picking nits, but it's calling 1530 into 2630, actually. Not sure where you got 4160 (edit: oh I see, you added 2630 and 1530
). But the ~37% is correct. And I agree you're probably priced in to call; figure his stack size is probably shoving something like ATs/AJs+, AJo+, 55/66+ or something similar. Even if tighter like 77+, AJs+, AQo+, you've got >40%.
Didn't run an ICM, but I suspect it more or less comes out in the wash this far from the bubble. Lose and you're critical, but not yet dead (not even shortest at the table); win and it's down to 7, and you've the chip lead. So I'd be willing to just play considering only equity vs. pot odds.