Since we're out of position anyway, what do people think about calling here and k/r'ing almost any turn card?
You'd have to consider just playing backwards against this guy if you do. He likes to wait for the turn with monsters, so you'd think he's suspecting you do the same. We've got him cbetting the river 100% (as if that has converged in 200 hands
), so if your bluff is profitable you have to worry that your value raise is costing you his river barrel. Based on a low WTSD opponent who barrels off a ton, you should consider how valuable his bluffs are to you when you get SD value. Again, it is hard to thin value raise vs. a guy who likes to fold.
Waiting for the turn is expensive as a bluff, so it has to work a bunch. Bluffing with the best hand vs. this guy is expensive. Stat reads that make me play backwards make me question sample size? Is this guy a horrible TAG or is it a 200 hand sample. This is where a couple notes could confirm that he's a lolbadTAG and that we should exploit him this way. I'd love to see that he river barreled a hand or 5 that was bluffing a SD hand.