Sadler was trying to help me with this at the end of last year and I still really need help with c/r semi-bluffs in general - but in this case particularly I don't see where c/r the flop or turn gets us the desired fold equity we're looking for. A 3b range from an unk on the BB has to connect with this board enough to at least draw.
Hows this look for a range through the flop?
www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: JdKhJh
Equity Win Tie
BU 32.17% 31.46% 0.71% { 6h5h }
BB 67.83% 67.12% 0.71% { 77+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KJo+ }
Now I get it if the flop didn't hit his range so much - say T77..
www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: 7dTh7h
Equity Win Tie
BU 41.44% 41.02% 0.42% { 6h5h }
BB 58.56% 58.14% 0.42% { 77+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KJo+ }
I can see semi-bluffing flop with this equity, but I still don't understand why we would wait to turn and pass up the chance to take a free card if we wanted one...
I would have played this hand like a calling station fish thru turn and raised river... perhaps you guys can help explain in more detail why we c/r at all here? what are we trying to accomplish? fold out a small portion of his range like TT-77, A9s on a paired board?