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ENTERTAINER OF THE YEAR
Nominees: Jason Aldean, Brad Paisley, Blake Shelton, Taylor Swift, Keith Urban
I admit that I'm always a bit unclear on the criteria they judge this on. They bring in lots of factors, but I can't tell how heavily each factor is weighted. That makes it consistently hard to predict the winner. I was very happy to see Paisley finally break through and win last year after so many losing nominations in a row. This year, I think it's too early for Aldean to win it, but any of the other four can make a very reasonable case for the win. I'd be slightly surprised if Urban won, but I'm guessing Taylor Swift has the biggest concert tour this past year and Blake Shelton has the mainstream attention by being on the NBC show while also being big on radio.
Pick: Shelton
I haven't been listening to country radio much these days, so I had to do some quick youtube catch up. I was hoping I'd like what Blake Shelton is putting out since I like his voice and put Ol' Red up there as one of my favorite pop country songs, but Honey Bee sucks. Too typical. I like Jason Aldean's voice a LOT, and Dirt Road Anthem and the song he does with Kelly Clarkson. Other than that, though, his songs are, again too typically, unimaginative pop country for me.
Remind Me is a great song, but I was disappointed in Brad with This is County Music. That's just playing to the lowest common denominator, IMO.
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FEMALE VOCALIST OF THE YEAR
Nominees: Sara Evans, Miranda Lambert, Martina McBride, Taylor Swift, Carrie Underwood
Much love to the older ladies (who are both still hot), but it's one of the three young blondes who will take this for sure. Taylor is the biggest star and I'll pick her, but Lambert or Underwood winning wouldn't surprise me in the least.
Pick: Swift
Should be Swift. Side note, just heard that Hell on Heels song by Lambert's "supergroup," and I'm fairly certain that it has or will replace Gunpowder and Lead as the go-to karaoke song for single, most likely unattractive, women with attitude in ****ty bars.
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NEW ARTIST OF THE YEAR
Nominees: The Band Perry, Luke Bryan, Eric Church, Thompson Square, Chris Young
This is stronger top-to-bottom than this category often is, but I definitely have to rate Bryan and Young as the favorites. Those are the two I expect to certainly see as legitimate contenders in the Male Vocalist category in the future. Luke is a bit more established at this point, so he's my pick.
Pick: Bryan
Didn't recognize these names, but recognized most of the songs after re-listening. I actually liked most of what I heard. Luke Bryan's stuff is catchy in a classic pop country way. "Are you gonna kiss me or not" is catchy, but the other Thompson Square stuff I listened to was throwaway. If I Die Young is ok. I like Chris Young; he reminds me of Mark Chesnutt, kind of with his voice but definitely in the yearning ballads he seems fond of ("Thank God for Believers" is one of my favorite country songs). I like Eric Church a lot; Drink a Little Drink is a great song.
Agree, Luke Bryan should win.
Just saw that David Lee Murphy wrote "Are You Gonna Kiss Me or Not." Love David Lee Murphy, especially Dust on the Bottle.
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VOCAL GROUP OF THE YEAR
Nominees: Lady Antebellum, The Band Perry, Little Big Town, Rascal Flatts, Zac Brown Band
Kind of amazing how quickly Rascal Flatts just became a category-filler for this category. I thought they were going to dominate it as long as Brooks and Dunn dominated the duo category, though I'm not much of a fan of the Flatts. Lady A is the clear favorite here, though ZBB pulling an upset is possible. Absolutely love both.
Pick: Lady A
Lady A will win, but my pick would be ZBB. I like them approximately 100x better than the other nominees.
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SINGLE OF THE YEAR
Nominees:
"A Little Bit Stronger," Sara Evans
"Colder Weather," Zac Brown Band
"Don't You Wanna Stay," Jason Aldean w/ Kelly Clarkson
"Honey Bee," Blake Shelton
"If I Die Young," The Band Perry
I sort of shrug at this song by The Band Perry that got so big. Never really liked it. Objectively I don't think it wins this category anyway. I think the favorite is "Colder Weather" followed by "Don't You Wanna Stay."
Pick: "Colder Weather"
Hope that Colder Weather wins, but my money would be on If I Die Young.
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SONG OF THE YEAR
Nominees:
"Colder Weather," Zac Brown Band
"Dirt Road Anthem," Jason Aldean
"If I Die Young" The Band Perry
"Mean," Taylor Swift
"You and Tequila," Kenny Chesney w/ Grace Potter
You never see the same song win both song of the year and single of the year, but like with Shelton earlier I'll cover my bases and just take "Colder Weather" twice and nab what feels like a very strong chance at getting at least one.
Pick: "Colder Weather"
Does Colder Weather have a chance? That would be nice, as it's my favorite. I actually like all of these songs, ranked:
1) Colder Weather
2) Dirt Road Anthem
3) You and Tequila
4) Mean
5) If I Die Young