Quote:
Originally Posted by AlienSpaceBat
Yes, you'll either get a 5000x or you won't, so it's 50-50, then when you get one it's 50-50 that you win it. Maths tells us therefore that you have a 25% chance of winning a 5000x each time you reg.
Since you have 14 shots you have bout 350% chance of winning a 5000x game. Seems +EV.
hth
Bat's numbers seem good to me. On my way to playing 14 x $2 Jackpot SNGs now. I expect to hit the top multiplier 3.5 times on average. Of course we know there's a lot of variance involved in these things, so I might be unlucky and only hit it once or twice. Well, it will be bad if I run several thousand dollars under EV, but we'll see what happens.