Quote:
Originally Posted by KingKongGrinder
If I know EXACTLY what my opponent is holding I'm happy to see a cheap flop with almost any 2 cards. Especially when I know he has aces because if I hit my hand I will stack him and if I miss I can easily fold. Aces will always have a hard time folding when stacks are at stake.
Pretty much this.
The conditions we want in this scenario are:
#1) IMPLIED ODDS: This is by far the absolutely positively most important factor when we decide to try to crack a big hand. If our villain only has 55bb and he raises 8bb, then trying to crack him is NOT profitable long term. We need to be getting a
minimum of 15:1 in implied odds. Ideally, we'd like 25:1 or better implied odds.
#2) Villain Tendency to Station big hands: We need our villain to be one of those players who are biologically incapable of folding his AA/KK even when the board is scary.
#3) Direct odds: Ideally, we want to get in on the cheap. The best targets are passive nits who aren't used to open raising. So their raising range is QQ+ however their sizing is around 4bb. Basically, whenever they raise it's exclusively QQ+ so if it's cheap, and eff stacks are deep enough, we can call.
#4) Post flop mistakes: It is helpful if our villain is either too aggro or too passive post flop. He either gives us great odds to draw by betting too small or he rewards our binks by overbet blasting the pot and committing himself to play for stacks and pay us off.
#5) Position is always nice Always nice to have position and if we are playing the live game, position even allows us to do some freeze outs when we are drawing. See spoiler for definition of freeze out