Quote:
Originally Posted by Donovan
It's not obvious to me which side of this you are coming down on??
Are you advocating this as a "safe board to c-bet" and worried that checking would make it hard to get stacks in by the river?
or
Are you suggesting we should "normally check top set on this board"?
I was thinking maybe there was a typo in there somewhere but maybe you are just saying there are factors pointing in both directions and you don't have strong feelings about c-betting or checking either way??
Yes, you have to consider both sides ...
The general rule is to 'always' check top set (especially when OOP), especially on this type of board since it should be very difficult to get 2 (much less 3) more streets of value. Top set on a dry board is very different than top set on a wet board that smashes both players ranges.
To step away from the general rule you need to look at opponent dynamic. If this V will 'always' call a c-bet, then fire the Flop and get a street of value .. but seriously consider checking the Turn. It's more difficult to get that second street of value when OOP.
To effectively bet this Flop you have to ...
1) Have a loose image yourself
2) Have an opponent who will play ATC
3) Have an opponent who auto-calls c-bets when IP
That's a lot to ask for with this board. In order for V to call a c-bet he needs to think he's ahead or has a reasonable chance of catching up and that's hard to expect from an ABC viewpoint.
Your bet sizing (and timing 'tell') here can also sway an opponent into calling a c-bet. Just remember that trying for 2 straight streets of value in 'any' hand is a tough task ..
It's no fun to have such a strong hand and have to work 'so hard' to get some value from it. Your image and V dynamic will lead you down a path here, just don't expect a King's ransom very often. GL