Quote:
Originally Posted by learnincurve
Hi All, need advice again, this time on high pairs AA & KK。I play fairly safe and will going allin pre-flop with only those two pairs. Looking through my stats and I have noticed that my chance of winning for AA & KK is about 85% but the average pot size is only 22BB, but when I do lose the 15% of times the average pot size jump to 90BB.
This is how I usually play , pre-flop 5BB+, flop 15BB+ Turn Allin
The way I see the problem is when I’m winning the opponent usually fold on flop and turn which only give me around 20BB wins rarely allin. But when I do lose, my entire buyin goes in the pot which is very disproportional to my winnings. My EV for KK & AA is like 0.2.
what am i doing wrong, its making me scared of playing high pairs. Any advice would be appreciated thanks
Does your betting pattern change if you have TPTK? How about a set? How about a draw?
Look at it from villains perspective. If you face betting as aggressive as you describe, are you calling with anything less than a combo draw or top two? If someone bets the way you describe, do they have any bluffs in that range?
A pretty common betting pattern, as an in position aggressor, is to bet preflop, bet the flop, check back the turn, and then bet smallish on the river (or call smallish). I can't speak to how big to size the bets (I play mostly MTT's, so the sizing would be 2.2 to 3 bb pre, 4 to 5bb on the flop, and then maybe 10 bb on the river. I know cash games, sizing has to be bigger) Do this for a range of hands, including some bluffs and missed draws.