I'm trying to put together pot odds, equity and EV. I'm just wondering if I'm working everything out OK with this HH.
Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players -
View hand 19508
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UTG+2: $51.50
MP1: $49.15
MP2: $50.85
CO: $14.75
BTN: $39.55
Hero (SB): $52.20
BB: $21.65
UTG: $48.25
UTG+1: $50.50
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is SB with K
A
UTG raises to $1.50, UTG+1 calls $1.50,
4 folds,
BTN raises to $4, Hero calls $3.75,
2 folds, UTG+1 calls $2.50
Maybe not the brightest play preflop but folding seemed too weak and raising too strong.
Flop: ($14.00) 9
8
5
(3 players)
Hero checks,
UTG+1 bets $7, BTN calls $7,
Hero raises to $48.20 all in, UTG+1 calls $39.50 all in, BTN calls $28.55 all in
After looking at the HH seems like a bit of an overbet but I figured they are calling anyway from the pot size
So on the flop my pot odds are 4:1 so it looks below break even (need 4.56:1 to break even) if I just call. But it seems my implied odds are bad because I'm OOP so calling there seems to scream draw.
I'm trying to see if my push was +EV or not.
My equity is 36% to hit by the river, so card odds being 1.78.
I don't think about the odds I'm giving when I push right?
I think I might have had this confused, looking at the HH I saw I'm giving my 1st opponent odds of 1.85:1 so it looked ok at first. I don't think I'm doing this part right though (looking at giving odds when all in)
9 outs so my Equity is 36%, I don't think an A K etc will help me against them.
I'm losing $48.20 x 3 = $144.60
I'm winning $142.55 x 1 = $142.55
EV is is - $2.05 ??? What am I missing here?
I know this was long but thank you in advance for helping me get something straight that should have been in my game long ago, but somehow I managed nice winrate at 25NL after 70k+, and after moving up to 50NL my winrate has been slashed in half and I think this is a big part of it.
Last edited by SirJoker; 01-26-2009 at 07:45 PM.