Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Blonde
That is exactly what I meant by don't wanna peel linearly
Also you're peeling AJ no bdfd? ..
Assuming a BTN open range of {22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J5s+, T5s+, 95s+, 84s+, 74s+, 64s+, 53s+, 43s, 32s, A2o+, K2o+, Q6o+, J7o+, T7o+, 97o+, 86o+, 75o+, 65o, 54o} (850 combos - probably too wide for MSNL but good for softer games), we want to defend ~45% of that which is about 400 combos.
If we assume a 4bet range of {JJ+, AKs, AKo, A8o-A5o} (88 combos) we have 312 combos we want to call with. Let's reduce that to 260 combos because if we're opening that wide in the first place we're probably exploiting something so don't need to defend unexploitably. That's roughly {TT-77, AQs-A2s, K8s+, Q8s+, J9s+, T8s+, 97s+, 86s+, 76s, AQo-A9o, KTo+, QTo+, JTo}
There are 235 combos left given card removal, so vs a 60% pot cbet we want to defend about 70% of our range assuming we don't have a raising range so about 164 combos. We can fold 71 combos, in other words. IDK if you disagree with any of these but I'd rather fold the following than AJo:
{77, QdJd, QsJs, AdTd, AsTs, QdTd, QsTs, JdTd, JsTs, Ad9d, As9s, Qd9d, Qs9s, Jd9d, Js9s, Td9d, Ts9s, Ad7d, As7s, 9d7d, 9s7s, Ad6d, As6s, Ad5d, As5s, Ad3d, As3s, Ad2d, As2s, AdTs, AdTc, AsTd, AsTc, AcTd, AcTs, Ad9s, Ad9c, As9d, As9c, Ac9d, Ac9s, QdJs, QdJc, QsJd, QsJc, QcJd, QcJs, QdTs, QdTc, QsTd, QsTc, QcTd, QcTs, JdTs, JdTc, JsTd, JsTc, JcTd, JcTs} (64 combos) - for readability, this is 77, 97s, T9s, J9s-JTs, Q9-QJs without a bdfd, JTo, QTo-QJo, A9-ATo without a bdfd, A2-ATs without a pair or bdfd.
This leaves 7 more combos we can fold. There are 10 of AJ without some kind of bdfd on this board so we should defend it some % of the time.
Admittedly, I thought it was clearer than this but I don't think that any combos of AJ with a heart are a fold for this reason.
I'm aware this is not going to be easy to read but I'd appreciate hearing if you think this is done wrong for whatever reason.