Quote:
Originally Posted by Yeah23
Like this tread.
When I started I shoved more and won big pots prob more. Thinking was- I have the best hand I go big. Past few times tried to be more 'subtle' and not have as big a pay off. Some low stakes fish go all in wih top pair or less easily- just finding them and exploiting.
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good point, so many micros call down overbets assuming you are bluffing
i would just add there are many other situations that give you can generate a "bluffy" image without hurting your EV. for instance, you have Ax suited and flop a flush draw, you can frequently get it all in these situations
(note-it is better as the shover, but frequently you have proper calling odds on flop as well)
but back to the Ax suited, lets say opponent has kk on a qt3 flop, even though you have basically no fold equity
you have 9 flush outs plus 3 over card outs=12 outs twice which makes you just shy of a coin flip (13 outs w 2 cards to come is a flip), but if pot is at least 10% of your stack(or opponents which ever is smaller) that makes the money odds basically a flip. Notice same thing is true vs AK on qt3 flop(or almost any flop that didnt pair a bigger Ace's kicker) 9 flush outs and 3 kicker outs, but you have very good fold equity if you push in the latter scenario or any scenario that opponent doesnt pair flop or flop has an overcard to opponent pair. both make it a tough call for your opponent
you can be very aggressive on flop in this type of situation and the only really bad situation is if you run into 2 pair or set(pretty easy to read possibility based on preflop action limped pot vs raised pot), but most times you are a flip, or a fliip w a lot of fold equity, also many times at micros you get called by a weaker flush draw or straight draw where you are substantially ahead
notice this allows you to overbet big hands and generate more calls
a huge percentage of players at micros dont understand the math above and call you a fish for pushing with a "draw", so they will call too frequently. pushing big draws by itself mostly only increases variation taken by itself, but can generate loose calls that increase winrate when you overbet big hands and other won pots when opponent folds and you win pot w A hi vs better made hands that cant/wont play for stacks
a pair (top pair much better than bottom pair especially when w/ straight draw) combined w flush or straight draw are typically as good as or better than the Ax suited scenario discussed and can be played ultra aggressive as well