heres a really cool hand from earlier....
this guy was a reg, playing something like 22/19 maybe a little bit different im not too sure, but pre flop stats are largely irrelevant, i just know he is a pretty gd regular player..
here is how i expect my opponent to think about this hand..
1) obv i 3bet big pairs, and hands such as AK etc, therefore the majority of hands i call with are no where near that board. they are mostly pocket pairs trying to hit a set, or big broadway cards looking to hit a pair.
2) i think of his range as largely atc since he raised from the button.
so he knows most of my range missed. thus, why is he betting? well the short answer is, to get me to fold. why would he want me to fold? well probably because he missed also.. he cud b looking for value, but with the ridiculously wide range he is raising from on the button that is pretty unlikely and is far more likely for him to just be making a standard cbet like he would always make when he has missed.
now i could check raise the flop. however, most people check raise with draws so that it is supposedly deceptive, when they flopped a set etc. this opponent will know that if check raise the flop i am mainly repping a draw though purely because there are so few value hands that i can have (the only hands i can check raise for value here is like 22, 66, 77 and maybe 67), so i think "how can i credibly rep a good hand"?
my answer is to check call now then check raise the turn. obv if i check call now and check raise a blank turn, i can rep a set. if i check call now then check raise a card that completes either the flush or the straight, i can legitimately rep either of those 2 hands. either way, its likely he has a lot of hands different to those specific ones, so its likely my play will come off.
the turn ends up being a blank, but since its a broadway card i expect him to barrel anyway, since whats kings are there in my range?? (none) and he can obv rep a cbet that suddenly hit a pair and therefore push me off whatever i check call with on the flop
also, if you were to hold a king here, how do u feel about this check raise?? i think my line is very consistent with a strong hand and therefore i think he will lay down most of what he holds here, even something like KQ is pretty marginal after a line such as mine.
Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official
2+2 Hand Converter
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BTN: $12.00
Hero (SB): $17.15
BB: $13.90
UTG: $4.55
MP: $10.00
CO: $16.25
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is SB with T
J
3 folds,
BTN raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.25,
1 fold
Flop: ($0.70) 7
2
6
(2 players)
Hero checks,
BTN bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50
Turn: ($1.70) K
(2 players)
Hero checks,
BTN bets $1,
Hero raises to $3.30, BTN folds