ok have played like 3 hours today of 6-tabling 10NL today. had some nice coolers put on me but never mind, am up a little bit after like 1700 hands or so, but its such a small sample its kind of irrelevant. i was playing pretty loose - 27/23 with a 3bet of 7.5% - those stats are much looser than i usually play, but i just wanted to get into a few interesting spots (meh, i got into some, though most were pretty standard unfortunalely)
will post some stuff, its obv a little results orientated i cant really help that after one session, but i like the plays i made in the hands that i post. here are some of the things i noticed that stand out most:
timing tells are so apparent especially amongst the ultra fishy players.
example:
i raise on the button to 30c with A
T
sb folds and the bb calls. bb is a 60/4 drooler with aggro factor 0.8. will call 3 streets with any pair and chases any draw.
flop comes 4
7
T
bb insta-checks i bet 60c and he insta-calls.
turn comes 6
bb thinks for a couple of seconds, checks i bet $1.3 and he insta-min raises to $2.6.
3 tells are apparent here:
insta-check, insta-call = i have a draw.
thinking for a split second = that card changed my hand, what shall i do
insta- min raising = i have the nuts.
if you watch for timing tells such as these you will have a real easy job improving your winrate. fwiw, i would fold any 2 pair on this board in a flash. a set would be very close as would any straight other than 89. 89 i would probably call and try to get to showdown real cheap
regs are really straight forward.
example.
reg opens in the CO to 30c.
i flat on the button with someting like 87s.
flop comes K64.
he cbets half pot like i expect, i call.
turn comes a 2.
he checks.....almost 100% of the time he is giving up on the pot. i bet $1, he folds.
most regs who i saw playing had cbet% of near 100%. maybe my sample was too small, but it certainly indicates that most are just on auto-pilot playing numerous tables, cbet because its good to, and then give up. exploit these by just
floating a bunch of flops. im not saying its bad to cbet a lot - against fish its optimal because they give up when they miss - but if u can learn to beat the regs your edge will be massive. and these spots are just so simple to make money from them.
further example, this time of a 3bet pot situation:
Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official
2+2 Hand Converter
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UTG: $9.90
Hero (CO): $23.05
BTN: $3.30
SB: $15.80
BB: $10.00
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with 8
7
1 fold,
Hero raises to $0.30,
1 fold,
SB raises to $1.10,
1 fold, Hero calls $0.80
Flop: ($2.30) J
J
9
(2 players)
SB bets $1.60, Hero calls $1.60
Turn: ($5.50) 7
(2 players)
SB bets $4,
Hero raises to $20.35 all in, SB folds
this villain was a really straight forward reg, playing like standard 19/17 or so, had a 9% 3bet at this point which was quite high though only a small sample. i only call this because we are 150bb deep and i think i can mess with him post flop. 100bb deep i would never call fwiw without a lot more reads.
so flop he cbets - i expect him to cbet this flop with like 100% of his range either for value or as a bluff. i call with my draw thinking i can either hit and win obv, or he will check turn to give up.
turn i was a little surprised he kept betting i expect him to check. but the added equity i pick up from making a pair, means that i dont need THAT much fold equity to shove here profitably. i dont expect him to fold QQ+ altho i think he might let QQ go potentially if he is super nitty. even when we are called we are not in terrible shape at all:
Board: Jc 9c Jd 7d
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 37.922% 37.92% 00.00% 584 0.00 { 8c7c }
Hand 1: 62.078% 62.08% 00.00% 956 0.00 { TT+, AJs+ }
from doing calculations he needs to fold like 15% of the time for this to be profitable based on our equity in the pot. this is like such a mandatory shove in this situation imo.
from the opposite side of the fench, once u cbet, it doesnt mean u cant fire a 2nd or 3rd barrel sometimes. like i said above where regs seem to have 100% cbet, most of them were giving up on the turn.
you can bluff sometimes
example
Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official
2+2 Hand Converter
Powered By DeucesCracked.com
SB: $12.25
BB: $10.30
UTG: $12.65
CO: $14.10
Hero (BTN): $23.80
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with 4
5
2 folds,
Hero raises to $0.30, SB calls $0.25,
1 fold
Flop: ($0.70) 2
3
T
(2 players)
SB checks,
Hero bets $0.40, SB calls $0.40
Turn: ($1.50) Q
(2 players)
SB checks,
Hero bets $1, SB calls $1
River: ($3.50) Q
(2 players)
SB checks,
Hero bets $1.50, SB folds
the villain in this hand was a super fish, chasing everything but rarely betting, and not making any moves.
on the river i obv cant win by checking.... but think about his range. it include a few pairs of course, but considering he chases anything, he can have a ridiculous amount of draws. any 2 clubs, any gutshot, he is calling 2 streets with. but he isnt calling the river after missing. he needs to fold 30% of the time to break even, and i think the range he gets to the river with includes missed draws a lot more than 30% of the time.
will post some more tomorrow about some other things i noticed because i dont want this to be exceptionally long and boring post (even though it probably is). i want to post a little more specific stuff about maximising vs ranges, and also about making thin value bets/ raises. hope you guys enjoyed this so far though.
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