Quote:
Originally Posted by Poker Clif
IMO playing what the cool kids are playing or running to the new shiny object takes away from the mission. I know that everyone in here isn't a full-time player, but the object of poker is to make money, whether it's $200 after a monthly trip to a casino or six figures a year.
For most of us poker is a social event and/or an interesting challenge, but ultimately, as the saying goes, money is how we keep score. When I hear about the next big thing I start running down a list in my mind:
How much variance?
How much work would it take to learn?
Is there a big enough player pool to make it viable?
What is the opportunity cost? Would it take too much time away from study, or from another game where I could win more?
I would want to read comments from people that played it before I even considered another variant.
Hello, Poker Clif. You think very constructive. I like it.
I have played Nil Poker couple times, so I will try to answer your questions.
How much variance?
Less variance than in poker (52-card deck). I am 100 percent sure of that. I can not gave you exact percent of how much less variance, because I had not played even close enough Nil Poker games(that is considered good statistical number) to say exact number for sure. I will give pure prediction now(might be wrong with this, but I do not think I am wrong; backed up by some calculations and because I played really a lot of poker(52-card deck)): If person would play a lot of volume online (not poker tournaments) at nil poker(if this will be possible in the future), it is possible the minus days for very good players are close to impossible, while in poker ((52-card deck)losing poker days are pretty common to every good player). How cool is that.
How much work would it take to learn?
I do not think a lot more work needs to be done if you are good poker player(52-card deck). Basically this: If something was considered bad move in poker (52-card deck), it is considered even more bad move in nil poker(pot odds,…).For example: If somebody wants to know the percent to complete flush draw in Nil Poker, just multiply the percent number you know in poker(52-card deck) by 0.8 and this shows you approx. percent of outs in Nil Poker.
Is there a big enough player pool to make it viable?
I believe it is. Maybe not yet, but in next couple of years for sure. Actually to me it is not question if, but when people will start playing Nil Poker. I do believe poker (52-card deck) will became unplayable(unprofitable) in max 7 years(probably sooner) as online poker. Couple of years after that live poker will have same destiny. I know a lot of people agree with this prediction(not Nil Poker prediction, but prediction about poker future in general).
What is the opportunity cost? Would it take too much time away from study, or from another game where I could win more?
Not a lot of additional work needs to be done if you are good poker player(52-card deck).Allmost none opportunity cost. I am sure that profit will be the biggest in nil poker (vs other poker games).
Hopefully, some other people will play it soon(members of this forum), so they will be able to answer your questions, too.
Thank you for your constructive thinking again, Poker Clif.