My Friends Poker Stats (Need Explanation) - Beginning Poker Questions

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My Friends Poker Stats (Need Explanation)

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09-30-2014 , 12:35 PM

sam63333

enthusiast

Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 60

A friend of mine started playing on partypoker a few days ago.

His current statistics follow:
$90 profit playing 2c/4c NLHE/PLO (Mostly HE)
4-tabling
No software
Around 3k hands.
Played around 30 hrs giving him a bb/hr of 150.

Can these statistics be explained? Is the game that soft? Is it a ridiculous heater?

I kind of want the explanation more than him due to me believing 150 bb/hr to be unheard of. Jealously is in the air.

Last edited by sam63333; 09-30-2014 at 12:41 PM.

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09-30-2014 , 12:46 PM

ThatsNotPoker

adept

Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 1,066

It's only a 3k hand sample and therefore means very little.

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09-30-2014 , 12:57 PM

Stegton

newbie

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 16

Wow, that's insane.

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09-30-2014 , 01:29 PM

Kelvis

banned

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 8,737

This is around 75bb/100 which is like finding a unicorn, isn't going to happen except for the softest spewy live games you could possibly find. The fact you are jealous makes me think he bragged about it and thinks it is sustainable. Not only do I think it isn't sustainable (not even close), I think he is probably a fish and when the heater stops he will lose it back and more if he'll keep playing. I could of course be wrong and he could be a winning player just turning on the heat but the fact that he doesn't realize this isn't possible kind of gives it away.

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09-30-2014 , 03:23 PM

Cry Me A River

Orange is the new Green

Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 23,784

Quote:

Originally Posted by sam63333

4-tabling
Around 3k hands.
Played around 30 hrs

This doesn't add up.

Ballpark 65 hands per table per hour for full ring (more for 6-max) is 260 hands per hour. 30 hours is 7800 hands.

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09-30-2014 , 03:42 PM

Chanty57

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2014 Posts: 505

3k hands is roughly a day of multi tabling, it means very little and is subject to negative/positive variance so we cannot gain any significant insight.

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09-30-2014 , 06:25 PM

WereBeer

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 10,700

75bb/100 is not sustainable, yes this is a heater, if reported accurately.

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09-30-2014 , 06:33 PM

Chanty57

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2014 Posts: 505

OP your friend is pulling your leg, probably pretending he is some poker god when in reality he has had some great short term variance.

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10-01-2014 , 06:40 AM

Liquidd14

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 121

Prop bet your friend be can't sustain this, make millions

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10-01-2014 , 06:53 AM

#10

DUCYdonk

adept

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 764

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Prop bet your friend be can't sustain this, make millions

I'm a fan

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10-01-2014 , 07:18 AM

#11

pudney1977

enthusiast

Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 68

Quote:

Originally Posted by sam63333

I've had one session where I was up $60 on Zoom 2c/5c. it doesn't last, you have to win all your flips & be lucky enough to keep finding big hands against whales. I seem to remember almost 1/2 of the profit came from a ridiculously stacked villain shoving from SB for about 500BB's while I held AA in BB. He had A9o or something silly.

It won't last.

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10-01-2014 , 07:38 AM

#12

Kelvis

banned

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 8,737

Quote:

Originally Posted by Liquidd14

Prop bet your friend be can't sustain this, make millions

Just bet that he won't get over 30bb/100 over decent sample. He might even give you odds.

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