PokerStars - $0.93+$0.07|20/40 NL (3 max) - Holdem - 3 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 16.13 BB (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
SB: 10 BB (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
Hero (BB): 11.38 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB,
Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T
8
BTN calls 1 BB,
SB raises to 2 BB,
Hero calls 1 BB, BTN calls 1 BB
Flop: (6 BB, 3 players) 8
K
Q
SB bets 2 BB,
Hero calls 2 BB,
fold
Turn: (10 BB, 2 players) 4
SB bets 2 BB,
Hero calls 2 BB
River: (14 BB, 2 players) 8
SB bets 4 BB and is all-in,
Hero calls 4 BB
SB shows J
K
(Two Pair, Kings and Eights) (Pre 67%, Flop 86%, Turn 89%)
Hero shows T
8
(Three of a Kind, Eights) (Pre 33%, Flop 14%, Turn 11%)
Hero wins 22 BB
At the turn my thought process was simply "i'm gonna need to improve to 2 pair or trips to win and i'm 8-1 chance of this happening and i'm facing an 80 risk with a potential reward of 720 so that looks to be closely about right so i'll call.
turns out my equity prediction was correct but i was just a tad under breakeven with my reward so i'm guessing this call was a long term fail? would you have folded on either the flop or turn here?