Quote:
Originally Posted by ArtyMcFly
Was your standard deviation really only 38bb/100? It is almost certainly going to be a fair bit higher once you've played a larger sample.
it's 38.5 EV
BB/100
so 77 EV bb/100
Quote:
Originally Posted by ArtyMcFly
I think the Pokerdope variance simulator uses BB to mean big blinds, not Big Bets (or 2x bb).
You're right. They mention it in the comments.
If I replace all the BB input by the bb input, I get :
70% confidence interval
[334 BB, 1778 BB]
[3.79 BB/100, 20.21 BB/100]
95% confidence interval
[-389 BB, 2501 BB]
[-4.42 BB/100, 28.42 BB/100]
I still don't really understand these numbers.
They say : "Your actual results over the simulated amount of hands will be within this interval 70% of the time. The first interval shows absolute numbers, the second translates those into BB/100, showing the 70% confidence interval for your winrate."
This is not clear at all imo.